Northern are run by the government. I’d imagine any advice they have given is coming directly from the DfT.
This. First Group were actively pushing for the messaging to change before shops were reopened on 15 June.
Northern are run by the government. I’d imagine any advice they have given is coming directly from the DfT.
But that's a red herring for the past few weeks as demand was massively suppressed anyway; see the following post:Like it or not, the railway can't accommodate the passenger numbers that it used to (given social distancing etc)
Northern are run by the government. I’d imagine any advice they have given is coming directly from the DfT.
Have Northern given out incorrect information in their response to the FOI request?This. First Group were actively pushing for the messaging to change before shops were reopened on 15 June.
I think that 'TBTC' sums up the situation perfectly.
TOCs are supressing demand due the 'distancing' guidelines in force.
I agree with you that many are "in denial" about the problems the rail industry faces. I said in April I expect 20% drop in passenger numbers in the short to medium term. Already that looks incredibly optimistic.This feels like a lot of people who dislike someone are finding any excuse to stick the boot in, rather than actually assess what he's saying. Play the ball, not the man, eh?
Like it or not, the railway can't accommodate the passenger numbers that it used to (given social distancing etc) and even if there were no problems with the "supply" of train seats, there's going to be a large problem with "demand" (for train seats), given that a lot of people are going to feel uncomfortable stepping onto a train (or into a pub or shopping mall or lift or...).
That causes a serious medium/long term problem for trains - a lot of people used to daily commuting are now out of the habit - even if we assume that they keep their job (not guaranteed) and even if we assume that those who keep their jobs will still be working in town/city centre offices (not guaranteed, given the large number of people who have found out that they can do their jobs at home) - even if we assume all of that, there's going to be a psychological hurdle for a lot of people before they'll feel comfortable getting onto public transport again - being in close contact with a lot of strangers, using communal things like hand rails/ buttons etc.
So even if the same number of people are trying to get to a city centre office for 09:00 each morning, this crisis means that there's going to be a lot of former passengers reluctant to go back to buses/trains.
I think that I'd rather have someone in charge of a TOC who understands the realities of passenger demands (and what hurdles need to be overcome to attract people back to public transport, away from the perceived "safety" of their own cars)... but I think that a lot of people on here would prefer him to be in denial about the large problems ahead of him, pretend that everything will be tickety-boo.
I'd rather read an interview with a realist about the difficulties he faces than the usual bland PR-puff piece where they gloss over all difficulties and suggest that there's a bright future etc etc.
(of course, if we had a nationalised railway, I guess it'd be run along the lines of what Northern have been doing for the past few months)
I agree with you that many are "in denial" about the problems the rail industry faces. I said in April I expect 20% drop in passenger numbers in the short to medium term. Already that looks incredibly optimistic.
In my view, people are distracted by the "psychological" issue but the bigger issue is cost.
As an employee, when you're saving 20% of disposable income every month by not using trains and getting lunch from Greggs et al it's a pretty nice boost. For many working people with dependent(s) (childcare cost savings as well) and high mortgage payments this is huge.
I was watching a report on Sky News yesterday on office space in London and how the City was completely deserted. Companies are also realising that they can potentially save overheads on rent costs by moving to remote working as well.
This feels like a lot of people who dislike someone are finding any excuse to stick the boot in, rather than actually assess what he's saying. Play the ball, not the man, eh?
Like it or not, the railway can't accommodate the passenger numbers that it used to (given social distancing etc) and even if there were no problems with the "supply" of train seats, there's going to be a large problem with "demand" (for train seats), given that a lot of people are going to feel uncomfortable stepping onto a train (or into a pub or shopping mall or lift or...).
That causes a serious medium/long term problem for trains - a lot of people used to daily commuting are now out of the habit - even if we assume that they keep their job (not guaranteed) and even if we assume that those who keep their jobs will still be working in town/city centre offices (not guaranteed, given the large number of people who have found out that they can do their jobs at home) - even if we assume all of that, there's going to be a psychological hurdle for a lot of people before they'll feel comfortable getting onto public transport again - being in close contact with a lot of strangers, using communal things like hand rails/ buttons etc.
So even if the same number of people are trying to get to a city centre office for 09:00 each morning, this crisis means that there's going to be a lot of former passengers reluctant to go back to buses/trains.
I think that I'd rather have someone in charge of a TOC who understands the realities of passenger demands (and what hurdles need to be overcome to attract people back to public transport, away from the perceived "safety" of their own cars)... but I think that a lot of people on here would prefer him to be in denial about the large problems ahead of him, pretend that everything will be tickety-boo.
I'd rather read an interview with a realist about the difficulties he faces than the usual bland PR-puff piece where they gloss over all difficulties and suggest that there's a bright future etc etc.
(of course, if we had a nationalised railway, I guess it'd be run along the lines of what Northern have been doing for the past few months)
Richard George is not the MD of Northern.
He's Non Exec Chairman of DOHL (DfT OLR Holdings Ltd) which is the vehicle we usually refer to as "OLR", which runs Northern and LNER as TOCs.
He was one of the senior consultants which put the operational plan for Northern together for TfN and DfT.
As a consultant, he's Director of the modestly titled Independent Railway Experts Ltd.
If you are looking for a "Fat Controller" for the railway, he would be a candidate.
He could be playing a major part in the railway organisation of the future.
Biography
A successful deliverer of high profile, large scale complex projects, Richard has 40 years’ experience of operating at a senior level in the UK transport industry.
The Managing Director for Global Rail and Transit Engineering at SNC-Lavalin, Richard’s previous experience includes Director of Transport for the Olympic and Paralympic Games 2012, HS1 Project, Director for Eurostar, Rail Board member for First Group plc, MD of Great Western Trains and MEBO leadership of the original franchise award at privatisation.
Richard had 20 years of British Rail senior management experience prior to the privatisation of UK railways. Richard is currently advising the Department for Transport and Transport for North about rail performance in the north.
Chair, DfT OLR Holdings Limited
I think he's missed the point completely.
All TOC's are dealing with an unprecedented situation, yet some are performing worse than others.
That sort of fits in with my point.
Commuting is going to be surpressed regardless, so TOC's shouldn't be throwing all their resources at it to the extent of neglecting their other services.
I agree.
I was about to post this, too. It’s a regional newspaper clickbait headline that has been repeated for effect here. He’s the Chairman, which is a non-executive role and which, by definition, means that he does not run anything at all.
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Richard George
A successful deliverer of high-profile, large-scale projects, Richard George has 45 years of experience operating at the most senior level in the UK transport industry. Currently, an independent advisor, Richard’s previous roles have included being: Managing Director for Global Rail and Transit...www.gov.uk
It’s at least possible that he has held his views on this situation for some considerable time, but has not felt that they were being taken seriously within the industry, or the DfT, so he has gone public.
Some TOCs are indeed performing worse, but we don’t officially know why. Are messrooms full of unrosterd drivers? If not, why not? Why is (for example) The Highland Chieftain not running? Why can’t Northern run a better timetable? Detailed research, examination and understanding of the issues is probably essential, and a level of imagination about what’s going on behind the scenes likewise.
An internal note to GWR staff from their MD that was mentioned on another thread seems to suggest that they ‘get’ this and are looking at leisure, particularly long-distance travel as being a growth route out of this.
The latest LNER customers panel questionnaire suggests that they have less of a clue and as a result sound more like Nero.
"The thing that I'm worried about for the long term is the psychology of it for our customers. And the psychology of are they ready to come back, we want them to come back, we can't with the current social distancing but even if we swept away all the social distancing, are they psychologically ready to come back to the railways? And I worry about that because that has a longer term implication."
I'm sure that TPE would consider themselves as "realists", yet somehow they seem to have managed to not leave their main service areas without a train service for large parts of the day.
But that's a red herring for the past few weeks as demand was massively suppressed anyway
I think he's missed the point completely.
All TOC's are dealing with an unprecedented situation, yet some are performing worse than others
I agree with you that many are "in denial" about the problems the rail industry faces. I said in April I expect 20% drop in passenger numbers in the short to medium term. Already that looks incredibly optimistic.
In my view, people are distracted by the "psychological" issue but the bigger issue is cost.
As an employee, when you're saving 20% of disposable income every month by not using trains and getting lunch from Greggs et al it's a pretty nice boost. For many working people with dependent(s) (childcare cost savings as well) and high mortgage payments this is huge.
I was watching a report on Sky News yesterday on office space in London and how the City was completely deserted. Companies are also realising that they can potentially save overheads on rent costs by moving to remote working as well.
Nearly the entire population in this country follows government advice. Between mid March and today that advice was not to use public transport. Therefore, almost the whole country didn't use any public transport in that time. What on earth is all the sneering at George about for stating that rather obvious fact?
Northern Trains Ltd. is owned by the Secretary of State via some intermediate holding companies. The people actually running NTL are a group of consultants and managers, many of whom will be the same ones that served under Arriva. The DfT is not directly, literally in day-to-day control of NTL.Northern are run by the government. I’d imagine any advice they have given is coming directly from the DfT.
This is total nonsense.As the FoI request linked to by @yorkie demonstrates, NTL did not have instructions from the DfT to give "do not travel" advice. The "do not travel" message which they promulgated was entirely their interpretation of how to solve the social distancing problems of demand vs supply.
It's obvious George was trying to be sensitive in public, not "throw stones". Please try to be a little more mature?Because people in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.
This information is clearly very out of date.The headline Government Guidance at the time and continues to be
If you're to comply with this, leaving the house other than for essential travel is not "staying home as much as possible".
I ventured out on the Skipton to Leeds line the first time since early March today, following Boris' announcement yesterday. The Northern 333s each way were busier than expected, although no where near the usual level pre-lockdown. The journey into Leeds was surprisingly pleasant with no restrictions on which seats to use and ample use of face coverings. The return trip was not as welcoming though with do not use signs on most seats which confused passengers and lead to some standing in the doorway. Leeds Station was also very much unwelcoming with the one way system and southern entrance closed which almost caused the train to be missed on the way back.
Based on today it doesn't look like the railway is ready to welcome back passngers.
I suppose I'm lucky insofar as Northern have been running an almost normal service through the Hope Valley for some time. What's more we've been seeing 2x150s on most trains instead of single Pacers not so very long ago. The stops they make are mostly at unmanned stations, the exceptions being Sheffield and Piccadilly, so measures to discourage travel have been less obvious. I met a Northern lady checking signage one morning and that's been about the limit.
Commuting traffic into Sheffield is as dead as it could be. The 7.54 from Dore yesterday (a single 150) picked up 2 passengers to add to the 5 already aboard. On a normal day 40-50 would have joined. I'd say the normal commuter flow to and from Manchester is every bit as dead, and that's a TPE route where 6 coach trains are carrying very few people. The 6 coach 8.05 to Cleethorpes picked up 1 at Dore to add to the 5 or 6 visible heads that were already aboard yesterday! It normally picks up nearer 20.
However, leisure users are creeping back. I caught the 11.14 out of eerily quiet Sheffield yesterday. Most shops are still shut and office workers obviously not at their desks. Traffic was very light in the city centre. I expected to find an empty train. Not so. The rear coach had over 25 aboard, the second another 20, the third probably a dozen. I sat in the front coach with about 4 others. All looked to be masked.
I'd agree that Northern have gone OTT with signage and messaging, but it's the overall message coming from government that's dishing rail and bus transport. The place of work is a potential death trap, and trains and buses are breeding grounds for the virus. That's been drummed into us day after remorseless day in the media.
Risk assessments are constantly being redrawn in response to the latest government edict. For public transport the latest update was only yesterday, see; Coronavirus (COVID-19): safer travel guidance for passengers In my retirement I'm involved with three voluntary roles. Every one has been producing risk assessments every bit as off putting as the rules implemented by Northern. Until the end of last month almost everything was shut down completely. The trouble is RAs are a minefield for potential litigation if anything goes wrong. Many employers daren't ask their workforce to return to their normal work place. A lot have found it's chaeper and more effective for their staff to work from home and use video conferencing.
Just imagine writing a RA to include places like Platforms 13/14 at Piccadilly, and think how that could possibly keep separation once any number of passengers return. Going back to my 11.14 at Sheffield yesterday, it was clear some weren't bothered unduly about separation, coaches 1 and 2. A smaller minority of us were, coaches 3 and 4. As the guard won't have left the rear cab I'm at a loss to know where we go from here!!
PS Out of several recent journeys it was only on an EMR service that the guard cheerily came through the train. Well done, but at unusually quiet Piccadilly Platform 13 most passengers boarded the rear 3 coaches of 4. Plenty of space at the front. I felt like an intruder there, passengers out numbered by all the staff to ensure our safety.
I was on a Northern service today and on arrival at the terminus the conductor was stating that capacity is limited and only essential journeys where no alternative was available. With inaccurate and hostile message like this still being conveyed it's no wonder there's some people who are reluctant to return to the railway
Please write to Northern about this; the company needs to ensure their staff are properly briefed. If I'd been there I'd have considered challenging them myself.I was on a Northern service today and on arrival at the terminus the conductor was stating that capacity is limited and only essential journeys where no alternative was available. With inaccurate and hostile message like this still being conveyed it's no wonder there's some people who are reluctant to return to the railway
Sounds like the authoritarian recorded message boomed over the PA system at Birmingham New Street about half hourly last Monday. Made me feel guilty for even being there. (Sorry I know that isn't a Northern hub but seems a similar message is being put around the whole network.)
Disappointingly it was still in place at Prestonpans when I passed through it on TuesdayIs this commonplace around the network
A few pictures - the gents I've left out, but normal convention is now compulsory!
Travel safely during the coronavirus outbreak
You can help control coronavirus and travel safely by walking and cycling, if you can. Where this is not possible, use public transport or drive. You can also help control coronavirus by:
- working from home where possible
- washing or sanitising your hands regularly
- keeping your distance when you travel, where possible
- avoiding the busiest routes, as well as busy times like the rush hour
I caught a TPE from Sheffield to Manchester which felt busy - compared to recently anyway. There certainly appeared to be plenty on the platform at Pic.