Peter Sarf
Established Member
It's these stretches of road at these times when public transport is necessary to shift the right number of people for the economy to function. At 2am on a country road it's clearly fine to rely on private motoring. At 8:30am on the way into Leeds city centre, not so much.
We're talking about public transport capacity being cut by huge amounts to enable physical distancing. When public transport already carries so many people per square metre of road space used, and cars are so incredibly inefficient, it doesn't take many people to switch from public transport to driving to overwhelm road capacity again. Yes, with a weakened economy, transport demand will be lower than normal. But, that won't be enough to fix everything. And, in any case, it's in the Government's interest to get as much of the economy going as possible so that we can avoid the worst possible economic consequences of Covid-19. Any reduction in transport demand due to a weakened economy is a problem that the Treasury will ultimately need to fund the solution to.
The shift to working from home will have a major impact on commuter rail into major urban centres. Trains are typically used by commuters who work higher-value jobs in city centre offices which are likely amenable to working from home. The distances these people are travelling are normally too great for active transport to be a realistic alternative. In some urban areas, driving to the office may be feasible (e.g. offices in Charing Cross in Glasgow just off the M8) but it's unlikely there will be anywhere near enough parking given that the offices were built with the assumption of train commuting.
It's buses where the worst impact will be felt. Bus services are used by a much wider range of people to do many shorter journeys. Your average bus passenger is more likely to be doing a manual labour job where WFH is impossible. In some urban areas, it's likely that bus passengers won't even have a car they can use instead to get to work. The only affordable way for the country to give these people a way to continue getting to work while physical distancing measures is in place is to make it as easy as possible for them to walk or cycle.
There's no way any road pricing scheme will be in place before we get to the end of special societal measures to deal with Covid-19. In the meantime the government is just going to have to do anything it can.
I think the point @Bald Rick makes is that, outside of a few examples like central London, the road net work could easily soak up what Public Transport used to take. I am not sure generally but, certainly for my example the roads could be a lot more congested before i resorted to the bus again.
And, lets face it, the overcrowding on trains and tubes in the past was absolutely disgusting. I do not know why i put up with it. It was unhealthy at the best of times and stressful.