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Cross Country HST withdrawals?

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Annetts key

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15 years or so ago XC offered more and better value advance fares but the services became too overcrowded so they started to reduce volume and increase advance fares to similar prices as walk-up fares. Now they’re severely overcrowded again with many customers using split tickets that take advantage of regulated fares. The revenue goes off in all directions shared with other TOCs. DfT knows this but doesn’t care as XC doesn’t serve London, so it suits them to call it a basket case and cut costs.
^^^ this is the reason that the current franchise arrangements need to be scrapped along with the current ticketing system.

It’s absolutely madness that useable stock is being taken out of use (and I don’t just mean HST/125 trains) when some existing services regularly run with people having to stand.
 
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GoneSouth

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Surely it would make sense for XC to offer advance fares just below the price of an off peak (or off peak return) then? As surely 100% of an advance fare is better than a proportion of an off-peak...
Oh they do! I had a choice earlier of buying an off peak return which would allow me to travel on any train this weekend, or for 5p less I could have limited myself to one train option. Thanks XC for that bargain advance offer. Laughable!!! :E
 

AndrewE

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See post 329
Single Voyagers from the existing fleet. CrossCountry have publicly stated that the capacity the HSTs provided over that offered by a Voyager at weekday peak times is no longer required.

I'll have some of what they've been taking !
Hasn't anybody else read the posts in this and other threads saying that the Treasury - via the DfT - (or whatever it is called this week) have demanded cuts in expenditure regardless of consequences, so capacity doesn't matter, just scrap it off! Maybe I'm imagining things.

I really think that unless the Treasury are given responsibility for our Carbon budget there is no chance at all of the railway being able to assist in modal transfer to get people out of cars...
They just don't care. Luckily Westminster is one of the first places that will disappear under the rising waters.
 

Rhydgaled

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Hasn't anybody else read the posts in this and other threads saying that the Treasury - via the DfT - (or whatever it is called this week) have demanded cuts in expenditure regardless of consequences, so capacity doesn't matter, just scrap it off! Maybe I'm imagining things.
Sure, it has been claimed many times that the DfT have ordered cuts regardless of the consequences. However, what JonathanH wrote was that:

CrossCountry have publicly stated that the capacity the HSTs provided over that offered by a Voyager at weekday peak times is no longer required.
In other words, XC (not even the DfT) have claimed that this particular cut has no negative consequences - the extra capacity provided by the IC125s, apparently, "is no longer required" - we of course know that is nonsense.

I really think that unless the Treasury are given responsibility for our Carbon budget there is no chance at all of the railway being able to assist in modal transfer to get people out of cars...
They just don't care. Luckily Westminster is one of the first places that will disappear under the rising waters.
It's not just the Treasury. Climate change is notably absent from the Prime Minister's / Government's five key priorities for 2023, it feels like they may have given up even pretending to care.
 

Grecian 1998

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Oh they do! I had a choice earlier of buying an off peak return which would allow me to travel on any train this weekend, or for 5p less I could have limited myself to one train option. Thanks XC for that bargain advance offer. Laughable!!! :E

XC have sent me adverts offering me advance single fares for a day trip where the singles might be slightly less than a OP single, but are considerably more than an OP day return. Mind you, the GWR website tried to direct me to buy 2 singles for a Bristol - Exeter journey totalling £51 rather than the standard £34, so it may not just be them.

I have long thought there must be huge suppressed demand for XC caused by the overcrowding which can occur at almost any time of the week - it really doesn't take much to fill 174 standard class seats running between multiple major cities. If XC ever did get longer single unit trains with e.g. 350 standard class seats, I could see a rapid increase in footfall. If the trains still had the same number of staff, the revenue to cost base should surely increase - I can't imagine the operational costs would increase. That said, I have noted that if XC were to run longer trains, it might cause particular issues at Reading and Birmingham.

In any case, as XC don't serve London and aren't a regional operator, I doubt anyone will take the risk unless Parliament is moved to Burton-on-Trent.

As it is, I can see myself making greater use of the GWR services between Bristol and Exeter once the HSTs are drawn. I'm quite happy travelling on Voyagers when they're not full, but given the choice of standing for an hour or a seat for 80 minutes, I'll choose the latter. For journeys to the NW, I can see myself using the Marches Line via Newport. For the far NE, via London. That said, I only visit places in the north sporadically, so I have to acknowledge no-one in the Treasury or at XC will lose any sleep over my plans.
 

irish_rail

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As it is, I can see myself making greater use of the GWR services between Bristol and Exeter once the HSTs are drawn. I'm quite happy travelling on Voyagers when they're not full, but given the choice of standing for an hour or a seat for 80 minutes, I'll choose the latter. For journeys to the NW, I can see myself using the Marches Line via Newport. For the far NE, via London. That said, I only visit places in the north sporadically, so I have to acknowledge no-one in the Treasury or at XC will lose any sleep over my plans.
Perhaps, but there are many people in the south west who do go north fairly frequently. I think the sh*t is about to hit the fan personally as 4 and 5 car voyagers just aren't going to cope on so many services. Something will have to give eventually.
 

Trainbike46

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Perhaps, but there are many people in the south west who do go north fairly frequently. I think the sh*t is about to hit the fan personally as 4 and 5 car voyagers just aren't going to cope on so many services. Something will have to give eventually.
at least there are ex-avanti voyagers that could be brought in relatively quickly when the **** hits the fan
 

JonathanH

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at least there are ex-avanti voyagers that could be brought in relatively quickly when the **** hits the fan
Could be but won't be. The operational costs drive everything.

Nothing is going to hit the fan. It isn't as if the issues with the Cross Country franchise are new, and nothing has been done about it for the last fifteen years.
 

cactustwirly

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Could be but won't be. The operational costs drive everything.

Nothing is going to hit the fan. It isn't as if the issues with the Cross Country franchise are new, and nothing has been done about it for the last fifteen years.

It will when people find their 300+ HST is replaced by 174 seat Voyager and get left behind...
 

GoneSouth

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It will when people find their 300+ HST is replaced by 174 seat Voyager and get left behind...
Sadly it won’t! I’ve been left on the platform by several full to bursting Voyagers over the past few years and nothing ever changes!
 

Rhydgaled

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It will when people find their 300+ HST is replaced by 174 seat Voyager and get left behind...
If modal shift from road/air to rail was a priority, the current* suituation (in my opinion) would be enough to justify increasing (rather than reducing) capacity on XC. I expect people are left behind by Voyagers anyway, - however even if they weren't it's only two 300+ HST diagrams being removed. What will happen is (more) people will be left behind, but I fear not enough to make anyone in a position of power pay attention. Some (perhaps many) of those passengers who suffer as result of the coming cuts will simply go by car or by air next time.

Nothing is going to hit the fan.
Not immediately. Sooner or later the climate impact of that negative modal shift is could well hit home though.

* although I must confess to having little post-COVID experience of rail travel (very little of it on XC and, as far as I can remember, none on an IC125), the trips I have taken have not felt noticeably less busy than my pre-COVID usage. Indeed, if anything the TfW class 175 from Shrewsbury into Manchester (for TPE connection to York) last year felt even busier than before COVID. That led to me going via Birmingham next time I was heading towards York (staying on the Cambrian train into Birmingham, then switching to XC, rather than TfW and TPE).
 
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cactustwirly

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If modal shift from road/air to rail was a priority the current* suituation, in my opinion, would be enough to justify increasing (rather than reducing) capacity on XC. I expect people are left behind by Voyagers anyway, - however even if they weren't it's only two 300+ HST diagrams being removed. What will happen is (more) people will be left behind, but I fear not enough to make anyone in a position of power pay attention. Some (perhaps many) of those passengers who suffer as result of the coming cuts will simply go by car or by air next time.

Not immediately. Sooner or later the climate impact of that negative modal shift is could well hit home though.

* although I must confess to having little post-COVID experience of rail travel (very little of it on XC and, as far as I can remember, none on an IC125), the trips I have taken have not felt noticeably less busy than my pre-COVID usage. Indeed, if anything the TfW class 175 from Shrewsbury into Manchester (for TPE connection to York) last year felt even busier than before COVID. That led to me going via Birmingham next time I was heading towards York (staying on the Cambrian train into Birmingham, then switching to XC, rather than TfW and TPE).

It's 4 diagrams that are 4 car 220s, as 2 double Voyagers will have to be split to provide the replacement units
 

AndrewE

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So a good quarter or more of all XC trains ex Plymouth will be short formed compared with now from May. Progress indeed.
Blame the government, either for just not caring about public transport (outside London,) or for kow-towing to the Treasury. Write to your MP - and think about it at the next election.
Commenting here achieves very little - although it might alert people elsewhere in the country to the problems being set up...
 

irish_rail

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Blame the government, either for just not caring about public transport (outside London,) or for kow-towing to the Treasury. Write to your MP - and think about it at the next election.
Commenting here achieves very little - although it might alert people elsewhere in the country to the problems being set up...
Commenting here highlights the problem. What else is a chat forum for? And re the next election, ill only need think about it for about 0.0001 seconds before ensuring my vote doesn't go to whoever the Tory candidate may be.
 

Richard Scott

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Commenting here highlights the problem. What else is a chat forum for? And re the next election, ill only need think about it for about 0.0001 seconds before ensuring my vote doesn't go to whoever the Tory candidate may be.
Problem is last Labour government didn't exactly cover themselves in glory where rail system was concerned.
 

irish_rail

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Problem is last Labour government didn't exactly cover themselves in glory where rail system was concerned.
OK that was more than 13 years ago. Its an entirely different administration now. Not very fair on Labour to tarnish them with the mistakes of the Blair/ Brown era. Ancient history frankly. What IS current is the Tories wrecking the railways as we speak with all the cuts and industrial unrest. Anything is better than this.....
 

Richard Scott

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OK that was more than 13 years ago. Its an entirely different administration now. Not very fair on Labour to tarnish them with the mistakes of the Blair/ Brown era. Ancient history frankly. What IS current is the Tories wrecking the railways as we speak with all the cuts and industrial unrest. Anything is better than this.....
Where's the money coming from to change things? Don't remember any Labour government really investing heavily in the railways.
 

Scott1

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Where's the money coming from to change things? Don't remember any Labour government really investing heavily in the railways.
Again, your talking about 13 years ago.

Money is always found when there's a drive to find it.
 

Richard Scott

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Again, your talking about 13 years ago.

Money is always found when there's a drive to find it.
Ok, so there's an infinite supply of it? Afraid when it comes to it Railways will lose out. If funding tight it's more of a vote loser to cut services like NHS. If it could always be found then everything would be wonderful as nothing would be short of funds. That's not reality be it a Labour Government or Conservative. Doesn't matter about 13 years ago, reality is there are lots of bills to pay irrespective of who's in Government. I'm willing to bet railway system will be no better off under Labour.
 

yorksrob

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New Labour were unfortunately fairly uninspiring when it came to the railways. However they were uninspiring in a steady state sort of way - they didn't generally screw the railway up, but there wasn't much in the way of re-opening and parts of the system were hobbled by no growth franchises etc.

Where there were problems (nationalisation of Railtrack etc) these were usually as a result of the pig's ear that the Tories had made of carving up and selling off the railway in the first place.

Overall, I think I'd take New Labour's steady state railway over the malevolent incompetence displayed by the current shower.
 

Mikey C

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The Blair/Brown administration inherited a growing economy and and fairly favourable global market conditions and managed it competently until 2008 and the financial crisis which then holed the UK government finances.

The current economic situation is far worse than 1997, so whoever gets elected will have to watch the pennies, whatever the rhetoric about investing for the future, blah blah. A lot of calls on the exchequer, but not much spare money, especially with the big promises in areas like the NHS and childcare.
 

Annetts key

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Ok, so there's an infinite supply of it?
Yes and no.

Money is a human concept, so yes, there can be an almost infinite amount of it. The ‘official’ value of a note or coin is just the number printed on it or stamped into it. And every year, inflation and the extraction of minerals means there is more ‘money’ in the world.

In practice, yes of course monetary supply should be carefully managed. Ask Liz Truss what happens if the financial markets lose trust…

If funding tight it's more of a vote loser to cut services like NHS. If it could always be found then everything would be wonderful as nothing would be short of funds. That's not reality be it a Labour Government or Conservative.
Well, actually, the NHS, the care system, the military and local government all need more funding. As well as the railways.

The point is that since WWII we have very rarely had a government that has had a surplus so they could both increase spending and reduce debt.

However, that does not mean that a new government have to carry on doing the same old thing as the current government. A new government will hopefully have some new ideas. It’s not all just about more money, but it’s also about how to manage things.
 

Richard Scott

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Yes and no.

Money is a human concept, so yes, there can be an almost infinite amount of it. The ‘official’ value of a note or coin is just the number printed on it or stamped into it. And every year, inflation and the extraction of minerals means there is more ‘money’ in the world.

In practice, yes of course monetary supply should be carefully managed. Ask Liz Truss what happens if the financial markets lose trust…


Well, actually, the NHS, the care system, the military and local government all need more funding. As well as the railways.

The point is that since WWII we have very rarely had a government that has had a surplus so they could both increase spending and reduce debt.

However, that does not mean that a new government have to carry on doing the same old thing as the current government. A new government will hopefully have some new ideas. It’s not all just about more money, but it’s also about how to manage things.
Thanks for telling me what I already knew but point still stands, I'm willing to bet any government will not increase rail spending above what it already is. Nothing to do with above, all to do with having to make books balance and we are massively in debt. At some point things have to give.
 

GoneSouth

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The Blair/Brown administration inherited a growing economy and and fairly favourable global market conditions and managed it competently until 2008 and the financial crisis which then holed the UK government finances.

The current economic situation is far worse than 1997, so whoever gets elected will have to watch the pennies, whatever the rhetoric about investing for the future, blah blah. A lot of calls on the exchequer, but not much spare money, especially with the big promises in areas like the NHS and childcare.
No money you all say… and to think what could have been achieved with the £100 billion thrown incompetently at HS2. We could have added an extra coach to all the voyagers AND repainted them AND replaced the seat covers and fixed the blown windows AND replace the broken lighting, and had change of … around £100 billion !
 

Annetts key

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… all to do with having to make books balance and we are massively in debt.
Which has got absolutely nothing to do with the railways, the NHS etc.
Yes, support during the pandemic added to the debt. But the underlying problem is that politicians keep going on about reducing taxes instead of actually increasing tax income. The debt will never reduce unless government increases income.

Good lines of communication (transport) definitely do help the economy. The railway network is part of this. Hence, it makes sense to encourage people to use it, as that helps the economy. But people will not be encouraged to use it if it becomes a basket case.
 

JonathanH

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Yes, support during the pandemic added to the debt. But the underlying problem is that politicians keep going on about reducing taxes instead of actually increasing tax income. The debt will never reduce unless government increases income.
At the same time, politicians are being criticised for a tax burden on the population which is apparently higher than it ever has been before.

Good lines of communication (transport) definitely do help the economy. The railway network is part of this. Hence, it makes sense to encourage people to use it, as that helps the economy. But people will not be encouraged to use it if it becomes a basket case.
There is a debate as to whether long distance trains or shorter distance services should have priority on the railway network, but short long distance trains aren't very effective in that regard.

However, it is fairly clear that no one with the ability to make a difference believes that spending more money on CrossCountry than it currently costs will return more revenue to the exchequer, that is they give the impression that they believe it would cost more to provide additional capacity than it would earn in revenue. Therein lies the problem.
 

yorksrob

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At the same time, politicians are being criticised for a tax burden on the population which is apparently higher than it ever has been before.


There is a debate as to whether long distance trains or shorter distance services should have priority on the railway network, but short long distance trains aren't very effective in that regard.

However, it is fairly clear that no one with the ability to make a difference believes that spending more money on CrossCountry than it currently costs will return more revenue to the exchequer, that is they give the impression that they believe it would cost more to provide additional capacity than it would earn in revenue. Therein lies the problem.

Are they though ? Apart from the lettuce brigade and the Taxpayers alliance, the majority of the population seem to comprehend that the current tax burden is a necessity borne of our current circumstances.
 
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