According to the latest UK annual transport statistics summary (
https://assets.publishing.service.g...ta/file/787488/tsgb-2018-report-summaries.pdf ), the modal split of passenger journeys in 2017 was:
by trips:
62% by car/taxi/van
26% on foot
6% by bus
3% by train
2% by cycling
by distance:
78% by car/taxi/van
3% on foot
5% by bus
11% by train
1% by cycling
...so if you want to de-carbonise passenger transport it's road transport you really need to tackle. Modal shift to rail will help, but since many of those road journeys are short distance and/or have no sensible rail alternative that won't make a big difference compared to converting road vehicles to use carbon-free energy sources.
For UK freight transport in 2017 (based on tonne kilometres):
78% by road
9% by rail
13% by water
...again, many of the those journeys are quite local, even for HGV's - average haul distance for HGVs was only 105 km, and 43% of HGV journeys were with an area of roughly three local authority areas joined together. These short distances (plus myriad origin and destination points) mean even totally carbon-free rail freight isn't going to have a big impact on de-carbonising freight transport. A big push towards carbon-free trucking is far more important.
So given the above, if you were in government, where would you invest political and monetary capital to have the biggest impact on de-carbonising transport?
A doubling of rail, cycling and bus would be a 17% reduction in car use.
Whilst rail is only a small amount of people's travel use it is still an important one.
For instance, to get people to give up their second cars then there's going to be several trips a year which would be reliant on using rail which otherwise would still be undertaken by car.
The lack of rail for some journeys could be addressed (although clearly not all) by extra rail provision. For instance, currently Mrs Ham can't get to work by public transport as it is a North/South trip when the train lines heading towards London are East/West. As such looking at pricing lines which are orbital to London would help with such travel.
Therefore schemes like:
- East West Rail
- Southern Approach to Heathrow
- improvements to those lines which already exist, such as Reading Gatwick services, & connectivity between it and the mainlines towards London
- looking at provision of junctions between existing lines to improve cross connectivity*
* As an example a new grade separated junction just east of Farnborough Main to allow a new Basingstoke/Ascot service. This could then also facilitate the provision of more stations in the main line (e.g. a second station at Farnborough and Fleet asking with a station at Old Basing) to create more opportunities for local rail travel.
However the big advantage would be the ability to get between places like Basingstoke, Fleet, Farnborough or Woking with Frimley, Camberley, Bagehot or Ascot which currently is not very easy. It would also create a different route, and one which is likely to be a little faster, between Camberley/Frimley and London.
If there was also a new station built on the junction then it would provide a fairly short (less than half a mile) walking interchange between there and the station at Farnborough North. This would further improve journey options (say Fleet to Wokingham).
In sure that others would be able to give other examples where there's significant population (Fleet, Farnborough and Basingstoke total about 200,000, and significantly improves connectivity between the whole Aldershot Urban Area which has a population of, excluding Farnborough, of about the same again) where such links could be very useful.