All these proposals suffer from the same fatal flaw, lack of space and facilities at St Pancras, until that can be addressed I do not see how any additional services can operate.
Services could use a different starting point in the UK, but the reason Eurostar is running at capacity a lot of the time is because St Pancras is convenient, with good connections for passengers originating within London, as well as further afield. ECML and MML both terminate within the King Cross - St Pancras complex, and the WCML is 10 mins walk, thats a huge section of the country that has easy, one train access to Eurostar. It would be interesting to colour a map and show all towns and cities that have a direct service in to King Cross - St Pancras, and possibly Euston as well.
If people travelling to Central London or points beyond end up at Ebbsfleet or Ashford, and have to change trains/modes then the advantage over flying is immediately eroded, and the business case to charge more than a low cost air fare is eroded with it so its no longer profitable
The only scope I see might be a low cost operation from Ashford to Lille Europe, but this was discussed in another thread and given tunnel access charges it looks to me like the cost difference might not be enough to make it attractive.
So this raises two questions, where to expand the facilities at St Pancras, and who is going to pay because its going to be very expensive. I think its very unlikely to be subsidised even by a Euro friendly government as the travel which results would be seen as discretionary or business based, the full cost of which shoud be born by the travellers and quite rightly should not be subsidised. This is before you even get into Border control issues.
The where to expand is an even bigger issue, there just isnt any space without major demolition, the British library hems it in to the west, to the east of Kings Cross might work but would be horrendously expensive, and underground is also very congested.
So yes the demand is there for further services, and premium fares could probably be charged, but unless capacity at the London end can be massively increased I dont see how they will ever get off the ground.
Where on earth "to the east of Kings Cross" is either available for extra boarding facilities or usable given how far it would be from St P?
If the idea is to have services to other destinations - such as Basel - which currently require a change of train at the mainland Europe end of the Eurostar journey, then maybe needing to access a different (from St P) station at the UK end isn't a game changer. Still just one change, but - eg - a same-station one at Ashford rather than a (sometimes different station) one in Paris. If it meant fuller use of HS1/tunnel capacity, and so the possibility of reduced access charges, it might still be possible to devise an alternative which was good value compared to existing journeys London-Paris-Basel. For example, if such beyond-Paris/Brussels services started from Ashford, the Eurostar ticket might include travel from St P to Ashford for the connection there. Maybe a dedicated non-stop (or at least semi-fast) feeder from each of several places could be timed to arrive around each check-in time and leave after each arrival time at Ashford. One to and from St P of course, maybe one to/from south London (even Waterloo, using the connection to the Kent lines built when Waterloo was the Eurostar terminus), maybe one to/from Brighton. Even maybe a through train from west/north of London - Reading? OOC?!
'Planned' in the UK, you must be joking surely. Takes cynical hat off.
What was seen as adequate at the time of construction is now at capacity due to a number of things making train travel to the continent more attractive
- Problems at UK airports, and the often poor experience that results when flying, low cost airlines hidden charges, out of town departure and arrival points add to journey time, airport delays, the need to arrive well before departure, luggage restrictions and the lack of comfort when travelling by air to name a few.
- Increased border controls (but I think this is overplayed, the actual slowdown in throughput is fairly small)
- The increase in passengers as people realise they get from London to Paris or Brussels in around two hours by train. To me Hs1 and the resulting speed up tipped the balance to the train from flying.
- A general increase in rail travel over the last 15+ years since St Pancras opened.
The area to the west of St Pancras where the British Library and the Francis Crick institute now stand, which I think used to be the old goods yards
should have been protected from development to allow room for growth, but that opportunity is now lost.
You're forgetting that the BL at St P was being built in the '80s [following a local campaign in Bloomsbury in the '60s to stop 7 acres of housing there being knocked down for the new library, and a decision in the '70s to build at St P instead]; and this was long before KX/StP was fixed on as a/the terminal for the Chunnel trains. So by the time anyone might have even dreamt of allocating room for expansion, the old Goods Yard to the west was already being used. Anyway, if it's just extra processing space that's needed, not platform capacity, there's a fair bit of leeway in the shopping mall which St P station is attached to...
As I understand it from reading this thread, the issue at St Pancras is Passenger and border processing capacity, not physical infrastructure capacity for terminating trains. Is there scope for adding stops at Stratford International, and using this to specifically restrict ticket sales from St Pancras. So a train calling at both has a percentage of tickets allocated to each station, and once they are sold, then only tickets from Other stations for that service could be purchased, thus spreading the passenger load between international stations? Shoot me down if this is wrong. Understand Kent stations are not passenger friendly, but Stratford Int. vs St Pancras wouldn't make much difference to many passengers.
Yes - in the short term, allocating a quota of tickets on some of the trains for use only from/to Stratford or Ashford (especially from), would spread the load and enable extra services to run. These tickets could be sold at a discount compared to St P tickets on the same train. And if these were services also stopping at Lille anyway, ie not the ones with the fastest headline journey time, the delay caused by the extra stop might be acceptable. And if this were done particularly on any new beyond-Paris/Brussels routes, again that might be less of an issue on what's a longer trip anyway.
Are you proposing an end to juxtaposed controls? Currently no Eurostars have arrival checks.
(It's not a bad idea, to be honest, doing all the checks in London in both directions; it'd allow through service to any European station. Would need a Home Office not trying to exploit a loophole in asylum law, though.)
Of course this would mean there'd be an even greater shortage of facilities at St P, especially if services to/from more places all needed to use the St P terminal - and this is presumably exactly what this system is intended to enable.
Maybe one way of trying to overcome immigration problems would be an explicit condition attached to tickets on any of these services, which users had to sign up to, that the ticket didn't allow access to the UK, but only to a zone at the UK station which was legally recognised as being within Schengen. Then, anyone not allowed in would have to be sent back on a returning service at the cost of the transport company concerned [not an uncommon system of course, in other contexts]. This would encourage the rail companies to check passengers' bona fides themselves; and might also need the Schengen system to agree to this and agree to take people back in this situation. But if other countries saw the advantage of more through services between their cities and London, they might think this a price worth paying.
Re the Kent trains going to Stratford firstly you would kill the utility of domestic HS1 services (which currently charge premium fares) and secondly there are not, as far as l am aware, reversing facilities at Stratford.
No, not coming from the east there aren't.
I think there is a good possibility of being able to run a coach & rail service from Ebbesfleet. You can get a catchment area as large as South + South East + East. In particular it might be appealing to tourists from Continental Europe with a lot of luggage looking to travel to destinations further away and not wanting to deal with the nightmare that is interchanging in Central London.
One possible option if the ETA for UK and Schegen get going is having fully automated passport control at UK and EU train stations, maybe with security contracted out to a private company and local police. Only people with a European passport and registered ETA can travel, and there is a risk of rejection if you are unable to fully satisfy the system.
I've also always been a fan of the RER model for high speed rail, wanting to send the high speed trains in a tunnel through Central London with three stops, but you could theoretically send the trains to Old Oak Common with a link between HS1 and HS2. OOC would provide an interchange with GWR, CR and WCML, along with tube and occasionally Southern (and hopefully SWR).
Well - to save the horrendous cost of another tunnel being woven under London, there is of course a track link (though no doubt not signalled etc appropriately at the moment) enabling trains from the HS1 tunnel to head onto the NLL instead of into StP; and the NLL gets you more or less to OOC. So, if there was anywhere to build an extra platform or two, accessible from the NLL routes, at OOC, with space for terminal facilities to match.... This can't be any less likely than an actual link (ie with through running) between HS1 and HS2!