St Pancras - Manchester Picc trains were often sparsely filled north of Derby post WCML electrification. (Probably exception were the 16.xx and 18.xx departures from Man Picc, at least to Chinley.) True. I used them on occasion, and that was my experience. These were usually Cl 45 + 7/8. Had they been 158 two car units, I dare say they would have looked nicely filled. It was also 45 years ago. They were, of course, not the only trains 45 years ago were often sparsely filled, including Derby - Birminghams that I caught regularly. Perhaps we should cut the current Derby - Birmingham services based on train loadings of 1974?
Rio trains were often sparsely filled North of Leicester. This is what I've read. Operation Rio was a fiasco in the first three months, with numerous cancellations because of lack of stock/crews and I don't know what. Hardly an encouragement to use the service. It was also, what, 15 years ago or so?
I seem to have noticed regular increase in passenger usage on numerous routes since 2004.
Please note, I'm not saying there is passenger demand to justify a direct service from St Pancras or Leicester/Derby via Dore south to Manchester - because I don't know. But to use arguments based on travel patterns of 2004-5 from a poorly operated 1 TPH service, or worse still, a 1966 - 75 Peak-hauled service of max 4-5 trains per day is, frankly, ludicrous. I'm just amazed otherwise sensible posters even think about citing such trains.
But to get this thread more back on topic, I also think to force anyone seeking to travel north from Luton/Bedford or Wellingboro to change at Kettering merely to get to Leicester or Nottingham is also ludicrous. As for, anyone going Wellingboro to say, Skipton or Huddersfield or Harrogate, facing a minium of three changes - it'll be a case of get out the car.
Yes, Wellingboro and Bedford passengers will benefit if they are going to London, I accept that's true, but for anyone going north, it's a total retrograde disaster for most normals who simply do not like to change trains, not even once.