It's obvious Britain lags behind most of Europe in transport terms.
Is it obvious? - an alternative view - perhaps Britain is ahead of the curve in realising that pumping taxpayers money into conventional bus services is throwing good money after bad - most people just don't want to use them because no matter the 'quality' they will never realistically match the convenience and ambience of the private vehicle, except for certain fairly niche activities where the downsides exceed the up. (taking the kids to school, airside buses, park & ride on some locations, big(ger) city inner suburb transport, certain longer distance express interurban etc)?
Maybe most conventional (passengers waiting beside a pole for a fixed time, fixed route) bus services in Britain have had their day, save in certain circumstances? Certainly (if this forum is any barometer) people do not see value for money in the product (only seeing value if the fare is well below the cost of providing it at present usage, and no realistic prospect of that usage substantially increasing [even with fare cuts] without further cost increases). Normally a product in this circumstance will just whither and die, or hang on in a minimal state where there is still a worthwhile number of distressed purchasers. Oh... sounds like British conventional bus services, and even the 'worthwhile' numbers are diminishing to a handful of core routes only (in my county of residence, anyway)
Is achieving modal shift from cars to buses/public transport
in any significant number about as easy as trying to convince people to go back from electricity to candles, with much the same result?
Perhaps it is time to take stock:
- Most people own or have access, to private transport, certainly for local journeys. Many of these are unused to using the complexity of buses (and probably public transport in general) and it will be difficult and possibly near impossible to voluntarily get this large group to engage. Of those that don't most aspire to owning/using a private vehicle, even if that is out of reach at present.
- Of those who have to use buses, the largest single group will be schoolchildren, for whom the provision of transport by bus is going to be a priority to reduce unnecessary car journeys, probably a more efficient and inclusive system than at present. Of course, this country permits choice of schools (and thereby generating diffuse travel) much more than the case in many other countries.
- The next largest single group is the elderly - increasingly the majority of this group is infirm elderly, for whom fixed route, fixed stop, fixed time services are usually inconvenient and often unsuitable. Their requirement is generally to go to the nearest and/or nearby shopping and medical facilities, or to an interchange for longer distance services.
- There are then several smaller groups - those who are younger but are disabled from being able to use private transport. Their requirements are more complex than the infirm elderly, but the numbers are relatively few and
- Those who have chosen not to drive, and those who are unable to afford to own/run private transport, but aspire to doing so.
The taxi industry, also with shared taxis (somewhere between a taxi and a full blown DRT) with doorstep service, ( together with cycling and walking where possible), already operating on a commercial basis, could be being used to cater for these demands, with full size buses being the exception rather than the rule for all apart from School buses and the main trunk/ interurban routes. Those who cannot use private transport should be given assistance with the cost of the provided transport. Those who chose not to use private transport would pay the full cost of taxi/shared taxi provision (to encourage them towards 'do-it-yourself' transport provision) in the same way that those who choose not to cook or launder have to pay the full cost of any service rendered by others.
It should be questioned whether paying increasing amounts of taxpayers money to run empty or near empty fixed route/stop/time buses, by and large catering for small numbers of passengers except in certain specific circumstances, with the vain hope of inducing modal shift by giving away the tickets and incurring even more costs by running more frequently or increased coverage of area and timebands, is a sensible use of resources going forwards. The majority of the population has voted with its feet, literally, in not travelling by bus. Let us be honest as to why this has happened, is still happening and why they won't be reboarding unless there is some kind (not merely a threat) of armageddon which would fundamentally affect society and life as we know it.
I appreciate that Switzerland and some other (northern) European countries have a higher public transport modal share than Britain, but they have spent fortunes of subsidy money over the last 50 years or more so as to have never got to the low levels that Britain is at now. And still these countries run plenty of empty or near empty buses. I do not know of any country that has got to our level and then brought bus modal share back up. Once the genie has been released of virtually universal private transport it appears it is well nigh impossible to reverse in any
substantial way (except in certain specific circumstances which cannot be replicated willy nilly).