NotATrainspott
Established Member
- Joined
- 2 Feb 2013
- Messages
- 3,258
People are talking about HS2 Phase 3 going to Scotland. I can't see that missing out the north east, but I also have a strong suspicion we'll have an upgrade north of Newcastle rather than a full-blown new build.
The straight bits of the current ECML aren't going to have trains running much faster unless they quad-track it. If they're going to do that they might as well do it by building another pair of tracks alongside the existing ones, designed for full HSR operation. It's cheaper and less disruptive than raw quad-tracking and it means that you can leave the existing tracks for classic services serving under-served stations. If passenger numbers do not yet need it then you don't have to rebuild the complex bits at York and around the Tyne/Wear area but you still get the journey time improvements. It's similar to what is planned for services to Liverpool as until there is a need for captive stock, you don't need to spend the billions on gauge-clearing the parts which are not yet at capacity.
Phase 3 going to Scotland is just because there isn't a vast amount of point stopping the construction at Carlisle. It's the trains to Glasgow and Edinburgh which will make building further financially worthwhile as these are the ones where rail will be able to supersede air completely. Network Rail believe that a 2:16 journey time is possible as that's what they put in their New Lines Program documents. At the same time I would imagine they would build the line north of York just because the costs and difficulty of the two lines together will be similar to either of the previous two phases.