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World War Three

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Busaholic

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'The revolution will be televised'.
World War Three, on the other hand, will never be reported, on this forum or anywhere else, for pretty obvious reasons.
 

Bromley boy

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If only that were true. On at least two occasions during the Cold War we were one person away from launch orders being given.

Scarily this has happened several times through the decades, as outlined below.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_close_calls

Though exact details on many nuclear close calls are hard to come by, the analysis of particular cases has highlighted the importance of a variety of factors in preventing accidents. At an international level, this includes the importance of context and outside mediation; at the national level, effectiveness in government communications, and involvement of key decision-makers; and, at the individual level, the decisive role of individuals in following intuition and prudent decision-making, often in violation of protocol.[3]
 
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pemma

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A lot has changed since WWII. Reportedly it was someone in North Korea who set off the ransomware attack which affected things from the NHS in the UK to train running in Germany. If someone can do that without the need for an army then maybe a WWIII could be ongoing without all the bombs and rifles that armies used in WWII.
 

61653 HTAFC

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Yeah I agree. All a lot of willy waving at the moment without meaning to be disrespectful to the victims in Syria.
The willy-waving itself (from Drumpf and "Thatcher the Grey" in particular) is far more disrespectful than you or anyone else calling it out.
 

greyman42

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You don't need to be a expert to know that the controls on nuclear weapons are nowhere near perfect.
Nuclear weapons have been around for a long time now and one has not gone off accidently yet.
 

Bromley boy

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I think it comes down to more than luck.

One of the scenarios in the list najaB linked to states:

Preliminary exams by bomb disposal officers said it was a miracle that one Mark 6 with exposed detonators sheared didn't explode. The B-47's crew was killed.

So why do you think it “comes down to more than luck”?!
 

greyman42

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One of the scenarios in the list najaB linked to states:



So why do you think it “comes down to more than luck”?!
If all these incidents were such close shaves then the odds are that surely one of the devices would have detonated?
 

ainsworth74

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Plus none of this explains why greyman42 is so certain things have gotten better!
 

tony_mac

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So why do you think it “comes down to more than luck”?!
In that particular example the comment was about the explosives in the missile. The nuclear component was not installed so there was no possibility of a nuclear accident
 

greyman42

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In that particular example the comment was about the explosives in the missile. The nuclear component was not installed so there was no possibility of a nuclear accident
It seems people like to dramatise these things.
Then why are you so convinced by your own point of view?
It was only an opinion. I thought that was what this forum was for?
 

ainsworth74

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I just think that we live in a society where most people don't fear that a nuclear weapon is about to accidently detonate.

We do not live in a society where people hold that fear. But I suspect an awful lot of that is because most people do not know very much at all about nuclear weapons, their development, use and control. People do not know that there is anything to worry about because we have been lucky again and again and again.

Plus this only covers accidental detonations. There have been more than a few times where a launch could have been anything but accidental:
  • 1961 - A single relay station in Colorado cuts off the US Air Force Strategic Air Command from their early warning radars and NORAD. This nearly causes the launch of bombers against the Soviet Union until an already airborne aircraft reports no sign of nuclear detonations.
  • 1962 - I assume the Cuban Missile Crisis needs no introduction. But a slightly lesser known part was played by one Soviet Submariner who refused to authorise the use of nuclear torpedoes against US Navy ships despite his captains desire to do so.
  • 1979 - A simulation tape is loaded into an active computer at NORAD which triggers a full scale alert with bombers and missiles prepared for launch and a request that the President authorise a counter attack.
  • 1983 - Russian early warning satellites detect incoming missiles which, by doctrine, should require an immediate retaliatory strike. One officer put it down to a false alarm and did not pass it up the chain of command. It later transpired that sunlight reflecting from clouds triggered the alert.
  • 1995 - A Norwegian rocket test is detected by Russian early warning radar and is interpreted as a first strike against Moscow. The Russian President was notified and the nuclear briefcase was temporarily activated in preparation for ordering a retaliatory strike.
We have got lucky again and again and again.

I have read very little that leaves me with any hope that there are "more safeguards in place now". I'd certainly be happy to read about such things assuming you have some links?
 

DynamicSpirit

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I've far more important things to be worried about, than to be concerned about Nuclear Annihilation. (Mind you the Russians will get my full support if they target HMRC, if the thieving sods don't repay me my overdue Tax Rebate).

But how on Earth will you get your overdue tax rebate if HMRC offices had all been destroyed?
 

najaB

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And it still takes all day to fly to the US, and all day AND all night to fly to Australia? 'bout time the airline industry caught up if you ask me.
Traveling at Mach 12 is all fine and good, but *arriving* at hypersonic velocities puts a damper on the rest of your day!
 

Cowley

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Traveling at Mach 12 is all fine and good, but *arriving* at hypersonic velocities puts a damper on the rest of your day!
:lol: That reminds me of the line out of the Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy - The secret of flying is to throw yourself at the ground and miss...
 

Jonny

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The trouble is all the sabre-rattling by politicians; everyone on both sides of the Russian/British spat was a politician and quite frankly both sides could have been telling lies. The only restraining factor for nuclear war is that politicians on both sides are potentially in personal jeopardy. Besides, why waste nukes on cities when there are enemy armies on the march?
 
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