You tell me. Footfall at Victoria has risen 8% in the last year to 8.2 million and is forecast to double to 16 million by 2035. Priority is being given to electrifying Miles Platting bank so that terminating trains can be shuffled around platforms at the 'back' of Victoria. That indicates to me that things are already becoming tight.
They are only tight because EMUs can't reach Stalybridge. The electrification to Miles Platting and the sidings is occuring because of a lack of electrification or western facing terminating platforms.
In the long term I think there should be aproximately 12tph through Victoria:
- 4 TPE
- 3 Northern Connect
- 2 EMUs terminating at Stalybridge
- 2 DMUs terminating at Rochdale
- 1 Burnley to Manchester Airport
If this is insufficient then 1 or 2 terminating platforms should be built on the trackbed of the western approach to old through platforms that are now under the arena, combined with an extra entrance at the western end of platform 3.
Victoria needs customer facility improvements first. The Northern ground floor offices and rooms on platform 3 should be converted into a waiting room, first class lounge and toilets. Platforms 3 and 4 need more natural light through replacing the roof on each platform with glass or transparent plastic. At least one cash machine and extra ticket machines at the station would be helpful improvements too.