"Smaller lines" apparently including the Shrewsbury-Holyhead leg of the Birmingham services. Whereas the Cheltenham services will be formed of a four car 231 even if they're carrying one man and his dog.
This I agree with. The Cambrian and Shrewsbury-Holyhead lines have not got the uplift they deserve.
Not sure why the obsession with 231's though. Their fuel range is terrible and they won't even be able to do a full days work on Ebbw Vale and Maesteg services without dropping in for fuel, never mind long distance services away from their home Depot - They are Stadler, not CAF units.
Also, 4 car doesn't mean more seating capacity. A 231's carriage is shorter than a 197. A 4 car 231 has 171 seats whereas a 3 car 197 has 186 seats.
rather than leasing enough full-length trains to provide some spare cover.
But there will be fewer options for service recovery. A large fleet of DMU's will provide more spare cover. A smaller fleet of 5 car trains means fewer spares, reducing your options when things go wrong. They will also be fewer options across the country to recover the service when things go wrong. Under the current setup there are 197's all over which can step in and cover.
Whereas if you have a spare full-length unit sitting in the yard you can continue the service without leaving any passengers behind.
Great if the train breaks down near the home Depot. Pointless if it breaks down elsewhere.
Will that be the case when the full Stadler fleet has settled into service?
Yes, and it's been discussed to death, but i'll cover it again.
TFW's new fleet was all supposed to be in service by now, including the 398's. It's been a very over optimistic introduction.
150's were used on long distance services which has eaten up their remaining C exam mileage, so some have been scrapped.
769's were a disaster which is why the 231's were brought in early on Valleys lines rather than the lines they were planned for - Ebbw Vale & Maesteg. Because of this 197's have been needed to cover those lines, meaning 9 or 10 units working lines they weren't supposed to be on. Imagine what 9 or 10 197's would do to long distance services in North and South?
230's haven't been great, with 2x 197's covering Bidston services that weren't supposed to be there.
I am in no way defending TFW's decision making and planning, just putting some reality and perspective into what's going on.
The 756's should be in service this month. That's 24 units. No idea what is plan is, whether they will just free up 150's and 153's for Ebbw Vale and Maesteg, or the 231's will start to be moved over to those routes. I would imagine the 231's will remain on Valleys until the 398's come in and 150's and 153's will be moved to mainline. Ultimately freeing up 197's to do what they were planned for.
Throw into all that terrible reliability of 197's often means chronic shortages and short forms. Out of 54 units, planning for 10 to be stopped every day is terrible.