Ah, thanks for the clarification. I must admit I was scratching my head there!
Yes, poor wording on my part.
Start of CP7 baseline electrification should be somewhere in the region of 55 to 57% (prior to the reprofiling of GWep, MML and North TransPennine electrification delivery, the assorted smaller programmes, and postponement of Electric Spine between Reading and Basingstoke) the expectation was 51% electrification by 2021.
That's clearly not going to happen now, but the intention is to still add around 10% additional electrification by end CP6, plus adding in smaller additional schemes and picking up some of the postponed projects.
The inclusion of whatever works are possible before 2024 should see another 3 to 5% electrification progressed prior to the start of CP7, some of that will be rolling electrification in Scotland, additional schemes in England and possibly more works in Wales, perhaps Crewe to Chester, as examples.
That gives, in 2024, a baseline of around 55% to 57% electrification on which to progress over the next 25 to 30 years, a span for what would essentially be the life expectancy of new build DMU stock arriving in the next couple of years, and our IEP/AT300 stock.
The electrification of the remaining 43% to 45% of the network is doable, albeit at a cost, and is probably going to be a step too far, bearing in mind the additional demands on plant and equipment which will include platform extensions, additional track (double tracking, quad tracking in places) and signalling capacity enhancements.
A target of electrification for 90% of the network, by 2050 to 2055 is definitely attainable, it's realistic and it's financially viable (indeed, 100% electrification is likely to be increasingly viable towards 2050 in any case).
That means achieving around 6% to 7% additional electrification of the network in each control period, from CP7 onwards, which is roughly where we're going to average out at over CP5 and CP6.