For me the debate goes something like this:
1. What are loadings on trains now that post-Covid routines have largely settled down.
I have a sense that there are some big points to be sorted - most on my mind is quiet peak intercity and quiet outer-suburban in the south.
2. How can quiet trains be filled. Intercity - feels like we need a major change on anytime fares (unless I my anecdotal but regular recent experience of very light loadings is wrong). Outer suburban london - I don’t have enough experience of recent peak/off peak loadings to say if there is a big problem there.
3. Off peak intercity - feels very busy - can some of that load be shifted into the peak to create more capacity.
4. Fair fares - all taxpayers pay for the railway. Where rail is an option (it obviously isn’t where there is no railway - that is such a non-point), prices should be affordable.
5. Are high fares a talking point for people who don’t use the train and don’t live near a train line - of course not. Why would they be.
6. Where trains are full but also short, it is a real shame our answer seems to be price people off, not increase capacity.
I spent the first 30 years of my life seeing the ridiculous under-provision on transpennine. It was just silly to run 2 carriage trains on a route connecting most of the countries biggest cities outside London, competing with the M62 car park.
It is crazy that we have allowed cross country trains to be half the length they should be.
Funnily enough neither of these intercity routes calls at London.
The railway wastes vast amount of money every year at every level. There are plenty of open secrets on where. If GBR does its job properly, it will deal with the overspending/paying on infrastructure provision and contractual game playing and get that money into increasing capacity where there is clearly demand/suppressed demand.
It would be lovely if the sums add up to also allow fares to come down across the board. I would be partially happy if we just dealt with the current absolutely ridiculous examples, such as peak anytime.
Perhaps controversially, I would also reduce the availability of advance fares to no more than 1/2 of a service and with no railcard discounts so the rest is available at standard off-peak fares. They tend to be just about okay and with plenty of railcard reductions even better for lots of people.