Solent&Wessex
Established Member
- Joined
- 9 Jul 2009
- Messages
- 2,685
The Government will do what it did with the Southern Guard's dispute.The government machine will speak out against strike action, but internally they will be quite satisfied with the idea of no trains at all running on Northern routes because the cost savings are greater than the lost revenues.
It will tie the hands of the train company so that they have to meet the DfT objectives and therefore have no room to negotiate with the Union, but then publicly will speak out against the strikes and say that the employer should get round the table to negotiate and conclude the issue.
The longer it drags on then the more likely it is that a Southern style solution will be found. Various grades will be given new contracts, told that these apply from X date, take it or leave it. The vast majority will take it because they can't afford not to, some will leave. DfT objectives of saving money and reducing headcount have been achieved. As the vast majority of the wider public dislike trade unions and rail staff and their unions in particular, then Boris and co will be hailed as heroes for quashing the nasty militant rail unions and saving the rail network from collapse. It will be painful in the interim however.