First of all, here are the relevant sections of the timetable, shown as Station - Arrival - Departure - Delay.
Bad Aibling 0637/0638 +4
BA Kurpark 0640/0640 +4
Kolbermoor 0644/0644 +4
->Rosenheim
Kolbermoor 0640/0645
BA Kurpark 0648/0648
Bad Aibling 0650/0651
->Holzkirchen
And now, here's the post on Drehscheibe.
"I offer a summary of the facts, based on my own knowledge and without speculation. There are countless posts on this thread and numerous reports currently circulating in the media containing fiction so I'll restrict what I mention to that which is conclusive based on the evidence and verifiable by fact. Anything else (ie allegations, speculation, suggestions) will be ignored. This is an attempt to dispel the (tasteless) rumours which I view with much disdain.
Both Bad Aibling and Kolbermoor stations are controlled by the signalbox at Bad Aibling. Whether the signalbox operations are done there, or from the Operations Centre in Munich, makes no difference. Between BA and KO stations there is a smaller halt by the name of Bad Aibling Kurpark, which has Automatic Signal Block #313 at the end of the platform (towards Rosenheim). In the other direction (towards Holzkirchen) lies Automatic Signal Block #314. Both of these determine whether the half barriers (remotely operated) at the Rosenheimer Street level crossing are up or down.
The maximum line speed in this area is 100km/h (60mph) before increasing further down the line to 120km/h (70mph).
Both trains should have arrived into Kolbermoor (where the single line becomes double line due to the platforms) at roughly the same time; at 0644 and 0645 hours. According to the Police Department of Upper Bavaria (South) at 0648 the first emergency call was made. The 0644 train to Rosenheim was running 4 minutes late.
These are facts.
This evening, it was reported in the media that, according to the investigation team, both trains had been erroneously dispatched to the same section of track by the signaller. Police have rejected the fact that the investigation teams were disemminating information.
I have firsthand knowledge of the locations involved.
The signaller could have withheld the Rosenheim-bound train from the junction to prevent the (punctual) Holzkirchen train from being delayed too. However, the train sitting in Kolbermoor (the 0645 departure to Holzkirchen) was given the green light. Then, for whatever reason, the signaller decides to allow the delayed train sitting in Bad Aibling Kurpark (which, if it had been punctual, would have been in Kolbermoor at this point) to proceed towards Rosenheim at 0646.
Neither train would have received any notification of the oncoming train; for all the driver knows the track is closed to all other vehicles and only he can access the single line section of track. As soon as the train leaves Bad Aibling station, the signal in Kolbermoor is automatically set to 'STOP' and vice versa.
Automatic signal block #314 lies only a few hundred metres from the scene of the crash and it stands to reason that the train driver (of the Holzkirchen-bound train) would have seen the negative aspect (red signal) too late to do anything.
With the level crossing barriers down, and the Rosenheim-bound train already in the section, the Holzkirchen-bound train should have received no signal whatsoever to proceed. This is a point the investigation will be focusing on.
Going back to the Rosenheim-bound train (running 4 minutes late); it departs Bad Aibling at 0642 and shortly afterwards pulls into Bad Aibling Kurpark. And here, the situation is the same; Automatic Signal Block #313 shows a stop signal due to the presence of a train in the section between there and Kolbermoor.
At 0646, the signaller would have manually reset Substitute Signals 1 and 7, and then immediately afterwards operated the level crossing barriers to prevent cars crossing the track so that the Bad Aibling-Kolbermoor train can proceed. Then - inexplicably - he has given the Kolbermoor - Bad Aibling the signal to proceed, at 0646.
Even though the light is showing red. That's one hell of a lot of blackouts. (Draw your own conclusions). But like I said earlier, I'd rather stick to only facts."
I've attached a sketch provided by the poster in the German forum.