I'm not sure that he'd want to run a party that increasingly resembles a bunch of rabid dogs wearing a trenchcoat. He retained his seat through campaigning on a very local basis for local issues..my guess is he knows the wider party is toast for a while and it'll be beyond even his talents to tame.
Interesting question. I suppose we started from a basis when people had left as they were not aligned with Boris.
www.telegraph.co.uk
The two child limit on child benefit was introduced in 2017. The question now being raised is whether to remove that cap and return to child benefit being paid for every child. The cap was introduced such that it only applies to children born since it was introduced.
Think many were "forced" to be hard-right (hard-brexit/anti-immigration etc) to be given a seat in 2019. Be interesting how many of the new intake are far more moderate or decide that moderation is the best way to tackle Labour/Reform?
It will always be difficult to handle independents in exit polls or during the campaign polling. Out of 650 seats around 10 had significant independent impacts which is a small proportion. There is a risk that targeting resources at judging those impacts takes away from looking at the national picture which can have very substantial shifts in seats won. The exit poll was within 11 seats for each party including very close to real SNP figure.@Magdalia, that’s a great post.
Just picking up on this bit. This level of detail is (currently) a step too far for polling surveys. The exit poll covers 133 polling stations that are located in constituencies that are usually fairly marginal and typical of wider voting patterns. They use the same polling stations each time to gain further consistency. The outcome of the surveys at those places is then modelled to reflect the whole nation’s voting. By it’s nature, this won’t be able to pick up very local issues, unless one of the 133 happens to be in a constituency with those local issues. Hence missing the independents. It will also have a tendency to under or over estimate seat gains for smaller parties simply through statistical variaton.
Nevertheless it is still a very large and expensive piece of market research, albeit not as large as the biggest market research conducted in this country twice a year (the National Passenger Survey for Transport Focus).
This sky news article explains more of it (article too large and full of adverts to enable much of a quote)
How accurate are exit polls? The science of predicting election results
Exit polls have been extremely accurate in the past and those who get the information first must follow strict rules as they work out what it all means in a secret location.news.sky.com
What is the background to the Greens being able to get enough interest in Waveney Valley and North Herefordshire to take those seats. If it can happen in these two, then what is the secret to getting it to happen elsewhere.
The parents may be able to make a conscious decision, barring of course accidents. They may of course make this decision in an environment where they have well-paid jobs and can easily afford a third child. Jobs don't last forever of course, and sometimes one of the parents leaves or dies.
www.bbc.co.uk
If you do a little research, you may find that actually there are such countries, and they are not outliers!
It's quite common for one or two results to take a lot longer. In some countries (I don't have any examples to hand right now) it can take several days for the final results to be declared.
The USA, for example!
An advantage of FPTP is being quite quick to count. Single transferable vote would take longer.
USA??
Arguably that just means the winning party rushes ahead with something they lack the experience to really understand the consequences of. Taking a few weeks to build a broader consensus might be time very well spent.
A few days out of a few years is hardly a major problem though is it?
