Would it not be more the case that those need persuading from behind their couches would be the very last to come out. If I were a hospitality / entertainment business, these would be the people I would least rely on to start a recovery.
It's a fair question, and I don't know the answer. But it's a suggestion that's been seriously made that getting people to visit places like cinemas will need something to persuade people that the risk of catching Covid after being sat next to a complete stranger for a couple of hours is low, and that vaccine passports may be the way to do that.Maybe they'll make more money than they lose if they do that - or maybe they'll lose more than they make. I agree it isn't a nice position to be in, yet another industry destroyed by fear-mongering.
However, any cinema that does so will certainly not get any custom from me (even if I did end up deciding to eventually have a vaccine - though I seriously doubt it) - and my contribution to the coffers of cinemas before all this rubbish started was far from trivial (we're talking probably £2000 or so each year, for over a decade).
However, it's not what you or I say that matters, but how those opinions stack up across the population. And while cinemas may err one way, live theatre has a different audience base and may go another - yet the two are very similar.
I just always try to keep in mind that those I know and talk to/read are not necessarily representative of the population at large, and my snapshot of opinion may not be representative.