SJN
Member
At the moment Coventry is under West Coast so if split tomorrow Coventry would be in the same position as Northampton, Bletchley etc.
It would make sense to me to combine all the regional and intercity out of Euston into one TOC, and then have the Birmingham area services operated by a different TOC (Network West Midlands). I'd likely also remove LIV-BHM and WCML TransPennine services from their current franchises, perhaps giving them to ICWC or XC.
If the Trent Valley stoppers belong in West Coast, so do those two services, especially Manchester-Scotland. You could, with electrification, even consider the idea of running Euston-Manchester-Scotland in the manner of Euston-Birmingham-Scotland opening up yet more direct journey opportunities.
First Capital Connect rises from the ashes lol
Franchising policy after 2012 recommends more franchises, not fewer.
During the SRA's tenure, the policy was "one TOC for each route into London", which was how we got FGW and GA.
The new policy aims to avoid mega-franchises which are "to big to fail", and encourages a wider variety of bidders.
Devolution also means putting fences round franchise areas which will in the future be locally managed.
DfT also doesn't want to in hoc to any one rail TOC group.
Hence the proposed split of LM into West Midlands and Main Line franchises.
I doubt if DfT will merge the main line one with ICWC, or fold back TPE Scotland routes into ICWC.
They love the cheap services provided by LM/TPE compared to VT.
The integrationists are fighting against the tide just now.
I doubt Labour would do much different, the demand for local control is too high.
I'm not saying it's right, just what current (coalition) thinking is.
Of course this is all rather dependent on who wins the election, because if Labour win we might have government-owned bodies bidding for franchises. It's funny how people know government can't be trusted with anything, then rush to suggest they be trusted with running trains.
You could, with electrification, even consider the idea of running Euston-Manchester-Scotland in the manner of Euston-Birmingham-Scotland opening up yet more direct journey opportunities.
The big objection to this in the past has been the lack of OLE out of Manchester and the very substantial time penalty caused by the slow running beyond Manchester. But with an electrified and upgraded Bolton line soon to be available, will the picture look different? Extending London-Birmingham services through to Scotland not only allowed the required extra capacity to be provided but also allowed better diagramming of Pendolinos. Might not something similar be achieved by extending one of the London-Stoke-Manchester services north, to create a pattern alternating with the Birminghams between Glasgow and Edinburgh as destinations and opening uip more direct journey opportunities as you suggest?