Yes, the first result was a wonder, as it was thought that the metro drivers might tip the balance. One tipping point was at some depots they had seen all their conductor colleagues sacked and turned into OBS's (Vic)
That's true, but it's so very unlikely (I don't like to use the word impossible) that the full conductor's role will be restored. At least not on this non-franchise concession, with HMG pulling the strings. I think that we all need to meaningfully engage to find a way forward, which will undoubtedly involve compromises from all parties. ASLEF was able to achieve staffing for the OBS role to be guaranteed at a 2:1 ratio without any caveats about "until the end of the franchise", which was a big compromise from the company, and was more than RMT seemed to be able to get- assuming they would even recognise the OBS role which to date they haven't.
The funny thing is the metro drivers used to say how much more relaxing it felt when they went onto main line routes that had a conductor, they could concentrate on the driving, and that's why they voted for action the first time round.
Myself included. I still think that's true, and I find it reassuring to know there's someone else on board who's got my back and I've got his or hers. A crew in every sense.
That said, I honestly don't have an issue operating the doors as long as I'm provided the equipment and procedures to do it safely, which hasn't happened yet. But that's not the totality of the value a conductor provides: Even when DOO, I would still want a fully-trained crewmember on board who can independently handle any situation when I've got my hands full dealing with driving the train and communications to the signaller and Control. In the airline business it's called Crew Resource Management- when one person tries to do it all, stuff gets missed. Right now, the OBS is more of a hindrance than a help due to their woeful lack of training, and I feel that the proposed agreement didn't recognise that. If the next proposal does address that, along with stronger wording on exceptional circumstances, then I'm sorry but I think I would vote yes.
The other reason I voted for action initially was that I found it insulting how the DfT and the company approached the situation so aggressively, insisting that we either get on board or get out of the way. How can anyone negotiate in good faith with a hard deadline arbitrarily set?
The next vote had a poor turnout, and numbers of new drivers in the metro area will always tip the balance.
None of the votes had a poor turnout. The referendum on the proposed deal had the lowest, and even then nearly 3/4 of eligible drivers returned a paper.
Plus living in London for many is of course expensive and with the OT ban and strikes. Many hate the job, hate trains and hate the punters and do it for the money, so any less money will tip some over..
Yes, there are a handful who live above their means (without OT), but not really enough of them to make a difference I don't think. Yes, there are also a few who just do this job for the headline salary and practically unlimited overtime. Certainly not what I would call "many".
If we were talking about an American-style walkout where we all would have been off the job until the deal is signed, then I might agree with you. But I hardly think the situation was that dire for most.