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National Express East coast to be nationalised

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Metroland

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The government is to take the East Coast rail service run by National Express into public ownership.

The troubled rail franchise, which is expected to have lost £20m in the first half of the year, is suffering from slumping passenger numbers.

Ministers have refused the company's requests for its contract with the government to be renegotiated.

The Department of Transport said that all East Coast services would continue and that tickets would be honoured. The government is to take the East Coast rail service run by National Express into public ownership.

The troubled rail franchise, which is expected to have lost £20m in the first half of the year, is suffering from slumping passenger numbers.

Ministers have refused the company's requests for its contract with the government to be renegotiated.

The Department of Transport said that all East Coast services would continue and that tickets would be honoured.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8127851.stm


UK Rail

The Rail business has continued to experience declining revenue growth rates, in common with the rest of the UK industry. To help offset this impact, the Rail business implemented a cost reduction programme during the first half year.

Underlying growth in the East Anglia franchise ('NXEA') in the first half year was 5 per cent. Yield continues to be resilient, although passenger journeys have been impacted by rising unemployment. Under the terms of its agreement with the DfT, the franchise receives 80 per cent revenue support from the DfT. This, together with excellent cost control, has fully protected profits during the first half year. Underlying revenue growth in c2c has slowed somewhat but profitability has been successfully maintained.

NXEA is also expected to benefit from its new contract with the DfT to expand capacity during the peak commuter travelling period, expected to be worth £180 million over the remaining franchise period.

Consistent with other long distance rail operators, the East Coast franchise, operated by National Express' subsidiary NXEC Trains Ltd ('NXEC'), has been most impacted by the challenging economic environment. Underlying revenue grew by 1 per cent in the first half year, with fewer passenger journeys and lower yield growth, due to significant down trading from full and first class fares. Combined with an increase in franchise premium from April 2009, NXEC is expected to record a loss of over £20 million in the first half year.

Update on East Coast franchise

As a result of NXEC's substantial operating loss, the Group has been engaged in discussions with the DfT since January 2009 to explore opportunities to manage the impact of the recession on the East Coast franchise. Despite these extensive discussions, it has not proved possible to agree a solution with the DfT that would meet the needs of all stakeholders. It has been recognised that the challenges facing NXEC are purely financial and brought about by the economic downturn. NXEC continues to meet or exceed all its franchise commitments and has made significant improvements in the performance of the service since taking charge in December 2007.

While disappointed that discussions have failed to achieve a negotiated agreement, NXEC continues to comply with the terms and conditions of its franchise. We have advised the DfT that National Express will encourage NXEC to continue to operate its franchise on all its existing terms, with the contractual support of National Express. The performance and season ticket bonds will remain in place. This will continue until such time as National Express' committed financial support has been fully utilised. National Express anticipates this committed funding should allow NXEC to continue to operate in accordance with its franchise commitments until later in 2009, although this will depend on trading conditions. National Express has confirmed that it will continue to work closely with the DfT within its existing funding commitments, in order to ensure high standards of passenger service delivery by NXEC and, in the event that the Secretary of State reassumes control of the franchise, to ensure an orderly handover of the franchise.

Under the DfT's model for franchise bidding, the Group's financial obligations under the East Coast franchise are strictly limited. Like all rail franchises, NXEC is a special purpose vehicle, set up to meet the DfT's requirement as a standalone legal entity, with its own assets, management team and franchise agreement with the DfT. National Express is not a party to, or a guarantor of, NXEC's obligations under the East Coast franchise agreement. Instead, National Express' committed financial obligations are restricted to a £40 million subordinated loan to NXEC, available to NXEC to maintain contractual liquidity ratios, and a performance bond to meet the DfT's costs in the event of franchise default by NXEC, up to a maximum of £32 million5. Other than these commitments, National Express has no further financial obligations under the East Coast franchise agreement or to NXEC. At the half year, £17.5 million of the subordinated loan had been drawn down, in compliance with the liquidity requirements set by the DfT. The performance bond remains uncalled.

If, despite the best efforts of NXEC and the full utilisation of National Express' committed financial support, trading conditions result in NXEC being unable to meet its financial obligations under the terms of the East Coast franchise agreement, the Board believes that the Secretary of State would have a duty to reassume control of the franchise. Should such circumstances arise, National Express believes that the Secretary of State would not be permitted either to recover from National Express any losses arising from any possible breach of the franchise agreement by NXEC or to execute the right of cross default contained in the franchise agreements for NXEA and c2c. Cross default can only be applied where the Secretary of State can reasonably expect that the default under one franchise within an owning group has a material impact on the other franchises within that group. However, the Group believes that the Secretary of State would have no grounds on which to come to this conclusion in circumstances where the Group has satisfied in full all of the parental support obligations to which the DfT asked it to commit at the time of tendering the East Coast franchise and awarding it to NXEC, and will continue to do so at both NXEA and c2c. National Express has taken and received clear and detailed advice from leading legal Counsel upon its, and its subsidiaries', positions under the East Coast and other franchise agreements and is confident that the implication of any NXEC default should be confined to the NXEC franchise. The Group would oppose any attempt by the DfT to cross default, in order to protect shareholder value5.

http://www.nationalexpressgroup.com/nx1/media/news/corp_news/pr2009/2009-07-01/
 
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Aictos

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According to this report by the BBC...

Ministers say if National Express cannot make the franchise work it will have to give up all three of its rail companies - they have told the company there will be no bail-outs.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8127775.stm

Since National Express have now lost the East Coast franchise, does this mean they have automatically now lost the East Anglia and C2C franchises as well?

Still who would the government preferred to takeover eventually?
 

O L Leigh

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I firmly believe that this is a situation brought about solely by the DfT's hard line on rail franchises. If this shows anything at all it is that the current rail franchising does not work and is too inflexible. I'm enormously disappointed that this is the outcome.

O L Leigh
 

Oswyntail

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NXEC have resolutely taken a premium product down market. Certainly on the Leeds service there is a large, fairly captive market, built up in GNER days, who are now feeling distinctly disgruntled. Punctuality is down, customer service is down, catering is ruined. The franchise was being run as a bus - not even a coach - company. But, where to now? Given the Connex example, the best solution might be a national holding company, but that would be indigestible for the control freaks who want everything off the Treasury's balance sheet.
 

O L Leigh

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I'm not prepared to get into the "East Coast Quality" argument yet again because I don't believe that it has any particular bearing on the matter. Besides, everyone hates their local operator and believes they could do better if only they had the chance.

The real issue is that the DfT couldn't re-let the franchise for less than they did to GNER and so created a financially marginal situation. If NXEC's sums had been correct then they would have been laughing all the way to the bank. Unfortunately we've since had an economic downturn that has hit all industries hard and thrown all NXEC's calculations right out the window. Because the DfT have been totally intransigent and insisted on their pound of flesh come what may, service and staff cuts were inevitable in order to free up cash to feed the DfT's insatiable cravings for cold hard cash.

O L Leigh
 

Metroland

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The way Lord Adonis is talking on the news, it appears the future of the other two National express franchises is being seriously looked at as well.

I think the government are right to play hard ball. A number of companies (not just inside the rail sector) are in charge of huge parts of vital public services (I include banks in that) and had got to such a position they assume that the government (read you and me) will bail them out. This has to end, otherwise nationalise everything, we should not be in the business of corporate welfare. The banks alone, have turned out to be the biggest social security scroungers of all time, and its going to be ordinary people that pay with high taxes, service cuts and declining services.
 
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jamesontheroad

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I look forward to this time next year, when a new round of companies will all have forgotten the moral of the story, and try vigorously to outbid each other win this franchise...
 

blacknight

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Nobody forced national express to bid 1.4 billion back in 2007 when franchise was relet after GNER handed it back, if all operators bidding for route were less than previous franchise holder then surely DfT would have had to taken less money for the route or kept it in state ownership.
If you were selling your house & somebody offered you a shed load of cash you would take the money not to worried how other party is going to fund its payments.
Would argue the fact the ECML is loss making route as GNER made plenty out of it for 10 years, only thing thats changed is its just not making enough money for National Express to pay rent money.
 

jamesontheroad

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I remember when it first launched that I complemented NXEC on the quality of their website's booking engine - the 'mixing deck' that allows you to compare outbound and inbound times and fares at the same time is a thousand times better than anything offered by thetrainline and operator websites that use thetrainline. However someone told me it had been under development by GNER, and NXEC had simply inherited it. I hope that it survives in some form, because it's just about the only tolerable way of buying train tickets online....
 

stut

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I remember when it first launched that I complemented NXEC on the quality of their website's booking engine - the 'mixing deck' that allows you to compare outbound and inbound times and fares at the same time is a thousand times better than anything offered by thetrainline and operator websites that use thetrainline. However someone told me it had been under development by GNER, and NXEC had simply inherited it. I hope that it survives in some form, because it's just about the only tolerable way of buying train tickets online....

Indeed, it was active on the GNER website for about a month before the handover, too.

I wouldn't worry about it disappearing - LM, SE and SN all use it as well.
 

Ferret

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What a total fiasco. GNER fail because they overbid, and then the DfT accept an even larger bid from National Express. Even without the recession, I suspect they would have gotten into difficulties. This is an almighty cock up and I'm afraid the blame lies equally with the DfT for accepting an unrealistic bid and with NatEx for making the bid in the first place. What an embarassment.
 

F Great Eastern

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Fantastic - glad to see they will be kicked out. A real win for the people using their services and the general public who have put up with their sub-standard service for far far too long. Now lets hope the same happens in East Anglia. They can keep C2C though, even they can't run a simple franchise like that badly.

It will be relet in about a year.
 
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DaveNewcastle

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From Dow Jones this morning :
Virgin Rail Group Wednesday said it's interested in taking over the East Coast Franchise, when it comes up for auction next year. Arthur Leathley, Communications Director at Virgin Trains, a unit of Virgin Rail Group said: "We are interested in bidding," adding that it possible to make money from operating the line, which runs from London's Kings Cross to Edinburgh, if you don't over-bid. Virgin Rail Group runs the West Coast intercity franchise, which it was awarded in 1997 and runs until 2012. Stagecoach Group PLC (SGC.LN) has a 49% shareholding in VRG with Virgin Group holding the remaining stake. Stagecoach Group Director Of Corporate Communications Steven Stewart said: "We are considering our position" on the East Coast franchise and whether it would want to add it to its portfolio of assets. Leathley said the last two bids - from National Express Group PLC (NEX.LN) and GNER were "unrealistic and provides a clear message that you can't make money if you over-bid." However, Leathley said that a new operator should be awarded a long franchise, in the region of 20 years, as "a lot of work need to be done to tracks and trains."

and on the Adonis / O'Toole "confusion" :
Adonis also warned National Express that it would struggle to win any more rail franchises.

"A company which had defaulted in the way National Express now intends would not have pre-qualifed for any previous franchises let by the Department (of Transport)," Adonis said in a statment. "I note that the parent groups of previous franchise failures are no longer in the U.K. rail business. It is simply unacceptable to reap the benefits of contracts when times are good, only to walk away from them when times become more challenging."

But Chief Operating Officer Ray O'Toole said he couldn't understand the statement because the company hadn't defaulted on any of its franchise commitments. He also said the company had taken legal advice and had been told it shouldn't lose its other rail franchises as a result of losing the East Coast franchise.

The company is now in turmoil. Chief Executive Richard Bowker Wednesday announced he would leave the company on July 10 to become CEO for the Union Railway in the United Arab Emirates. O'Toole said Bowker wasn't leaving because of the franchise loss, but because Bowker had been given an interesting new opportunity.

The company will now look for a new CEO and in the meantime, non-executive Chairman John Devaney will become executive Chairman.
 
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It's not over yet!

Listen to Ray O'Toole's interview at the end of this morning's Today programme:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_8128000/8128052.stm



Looks as though Lord Adonis may have jumped the gun on this one...

eezypeazy

Or Ray O'Toole's not keeping up with events. Lord Adonis seems quite clear he is bringing the service back into government control as a response to NX's statement, which could be paraphrased as 'we can keep going a bit longer until the money runs out'. Don't these people know when to stop...
 

mumrar

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And here this demonstrates a problem accross all industry, not just the railway. The contract bidding process is inherently flawed beacuse it favours those who say they can do something for less money than someone else. Look at Wembley stadium, the company lies to get a contract and the costs double whilst delays spiral out of control.

The DfTs own rules say that NatEx should lose their other franchises regardless of how well they are performing. After all, 2entertain was a very successful branch of the Woolworhts company, but they had to go due to the overbearing company wide financial problems.

I'm laughing at all the suggestions that Virgin will get it. Why on earth would the Dft, stupid as they are, give them the monopoly of all express traffic between England and Scotland. It wouldn't happen until we got down to about 5 operators if that happens.
 

F Great Eastern

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Think it would be between First (Possible Issues with fHT and f Transpennine Express though) Stagecoach or Arriva or a new entry.
 

blacknight

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So 2 operators have failed to make ago of ECML franchise route is back in public ownership for time being, so should that start making a profit for DfT & bring money into transport coffers why then relet it to a third party, will banks be that keen to lend in current climate. Only need 1 company required with 2 divisions Intercity & Regional Railways 2 letters first B Second R.
 

Failed Unit

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I'm not prepared to get into the "East Coast Quality" argument yet again because I don't believe that it has any particular bearing on the matter. Besides, everyone hates their local operator and believes they could do better if only they had the chance.

The real issue is that the DfT couldn't re-let the franchise for less than they did to GNER and so created a financially marginal situation. If NXEC's sums had been correct then they would have been laughing all the way to the bank. Unfortunately we've since had an economic downturn that has hit all industries hard and thrown all NXEC's calculations right out the window. Because the DfT have been totally intransigent and insisted on their pound of flesh come what may, service and staff cuts were inevitable in order to free up cash to feed the DfT's insatiable cravings for cold hard cash.

O L Leigh

Are you looking at this as an employee of national express when you say you are disappointed about how things have turned out.

Yes DfT should take thier share of the blame certainly should not assist National Express in anyway. National Express have made millions in the good times on the back of a boom no-one predicted so they can't have it both ways.

As a user of the line the quality of the service does have a major bearing. Virgins product is now vastly superiour for 1st class passengers, so as one of them the solution for me is simple use virgin instead. Yes lots of people don't have the choice but to use another operator but if they are not happy with the quality of the 1st class product they will just use standard instead. Most people I have spoken to still using ECML use standard as they don't feel 1st is worth it anymore - this is directly because of national express's policy. It is not just about free tea and biscuits, to pay more than £100 difference in fares gets you a lot of tea and biscuits to sit in standard :lol:

The price rises due to fare simplification, reservation charges they have introduced will also push people onto other operators. Grand Central and Hull trains are so much cheaper for a better product as well.

Very few users of the route I have spoken to will be sorry to see national express go, I am just a little suprised the feelings haven't been reflected more drastically in the PF surveys. Not sure what users think of them on thier other routes but after NEEC and CT national express should stick to buses in my opinion.
 

Metroland

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As Robert Peston, of BBC writes:

"It turns out that I could have been the operator of the East Coast rail franchise.

Here's my reason for thinking this idea isn't as absurd as it sounds. It's an extract from National Express's trading statement today.

"Under the DfT's [Department For Transport's] model for franchise bidding, the Group's financial obligations under the East Coast franchise are strictly limited. Like all rail franchises, NXEC [National Express East Coast] is a special purpose vehicle, set up to meet the DfT's requirement as a standalone legal entity, with its own assets, management team and franchise agreement with the DfT. National Express is not a party to, or a guarantor of, NXEC's obligations under the East Coast franchise agreement."

What that means is that the parent company, National Express, has very limited financial exposure to the losses being incurred by NXEC, the holder of the East Coast franchise - and believes it can hand back the franchise to the government with near impunity.

These are the relevant numbers.

National Express has made a £40m subordinated loan to NXEC and has also provided a £32m performance bond to it.

What this means is that once NXEC's losses have reached £72m, that's the end of National Express's financial responsibility for the business.

At that point, the parent company can return the franchise to the government and incur no further losses.

And, according to advice National Express has received from leading counsel, in handing back the franchise National Express as a group would not be in default on the contract with the DfT, even though NXEC would clearly be in default.

Which is highly relevant, because it means - according to legal advice received by the company - that the government would have no right to take back the other two profitable rail franchises operated by National Express (East Anglia and c2c)."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2009/07/i_could_operate_trains.html

Point is these franchises are a joke. They are a no risk bet, and do not transfer liability away from the Government. In other words, they are a very expensive way for the government to say 'Not our fault, gov'.

The only way round this would be longer franchises, or vertical integration with at least 50 year track leases.

--- old post above --- --- new post below ---


TWO of the UK rail industry’s biggest players have confirmed they are interested in taking on the East Coast Mainline service after it was abandoned by current operator National Express.

First Trains and Virgin have said they will be considering any invitation from the Department For Transport to tender for the operation.

The service, which runs through and sees 450 administration staff employed in the city, will be put in to public ownership until a new operator is found A spokesman for Virgin Trains said the company was giving “serious s consideration” to putting in a bid for the service.

“We will see what the invitation for tender looks like from the Department of Transport “We did try for the East Coat franchise in 2007 with what we thought was a sensible bid. National Express beat us with the money they would pay to the Government but we are seeing the consequences of that now.

He added: “We have got form and we will be giving this serious consideration.”

Virgin said it was too early to comment on the future of the 450 administration jobs which are now in question in York since the pull-out of National Express.

A spokesman for First, another major player in the retail industry said talk of job losses at this stage would be “completely hypothetical.”

However he did confirm that First would be considering any invitation to tender from the Government.

“As a long-time player in the rail industry we are always interested in new opportunities and would be interested in looking at this franchise as and when it comes up for bidding,” he said.

“The question of where a theoretical HQ would be is far too early to say – its way off down the line.

http://www.thepress.co.uk/news/4468..._service_following_National_Express_pull_out/
 
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bengley

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Chiltern should get it. They're reliable and it's about time they expanded their very small franchise.
 

LilLoaf

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Ah well, when it comes to rail company's, they come, they go. I really don't see what all the fuss is about whoever runs the East Coast route its just going to be the same trains just a differant colour. Nobody will lose there jobs (hopefully), some people may choose to leave but thats up to them.

So taking away all the political jargon what happens now. Do other company bid for it, Stagecoach, virgin, First etc. I heard the goverment has something to do with it. So will they just be known as "East Coast trains" or something.

If its a bidding thing going on i really hope First will get it. Love their livery and catering on the FGW. Hope its not stagecoach. Virgin would be interesting to see red spashed all over the East coast and Ricky Branson on one of his dramatic press launches.
 

anthony263

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I agree it should be someone other than First group, Stagecoach, Virgin & National express. I agree that the way Chiltern are being run is very good and maybe that kind of approach is what is needed on the east coast mainline
 

merlodlliw

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And here this demonstrates a problem accross all industry, not just the railway. The contract bidding process is inherently flawed beacuse it favours those who say they can do something for less money than someone else. Look at Wembley stadium, the company lies to get a contract and the costs double whilst delays spiral out of control.

How true, we have a rail company that won the bid for less money and no growth whatsoever, the entire system is a shambles.
 

F Great Eastern

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But it's a National Express way no?

Look what they did with East Anglia, they bid much more than anyone else, have invested hardly anything in anything, have done nothing but reduce facilities and passenger services, and just took as much money out of it as they can. Whatever you say about First and Virgin etc, least they do invest something in.

For example look at National Express EA MK3's, refurbished with nothing more than a new seat rag, new colours on the walls, new carpet, and new materials, they haven't done anything useful at all. Even the Virgin spare set is of better standard than this and has power sockets, wifi, nice tables. Same with the 156s, National Express spent 100k for their whole fleet put together and other operators are spending this PER TRAIN!
 
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