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"Covid rising in England" - let's stop the fear mongering

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Mikw

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Fine, you may go along with it, but many people simply won't.

There is no "threat" because people won't go along with it and we can't afford it.
I didn't say i would, did i? (I didn't before) However, i could expect a large fine (and possibly a criminal record depending on the severity of the emergency law) , however unfair it was.

As could we all.
 
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yorkie

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I didn't say i would, did i? (I didn't before) However, i could expect a large fine (and possibly a criminal record depending on the severity of the emergency law) , however unfair it was.

As could we all.
As I keep saying people just aren't going to tolerate it, so good luck to anyone who tries to impose fines.

I think you're out of touch if you think people would accept another lockdown. I wouldn't and there would be so many people who wouldn't; the police would not be able to do anything.

Lockdown 1 was the only one that had strict enforcement because, as time went on, more and more people realised it was a con and didn't go along with it.
 

Bikeman78

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Remember i said i didn't want to see another lockdown. I was replying to the poster who asked why i was talking about NHS capacity, it's the only thing that triggers lockdowns. nothing else will.
Out of interest, what needs to happen for the NHS to be defined as overwhelmed? I would argue that it's already there. Six million people on waiting lists, multiple hour waits for an ambulance. How bad does it need to get? 10 hour wait for an ambulance? I've basically resigned myself to that fact that if I need an ambulance, I'm probably dead.

I don't see how wearing a mask on a train or shutting things down will have any meaningful impact on the above. A strict China style lockdown with a ban on alcohol and power tools would probably help but it would need to be in place for months or years. In which case what is the point in being alive?
 

jumble

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Something I noticed from that Daily Mail article DuncanP posted above today....



What absolute bloody nonsense!! These polls are hardly representative of the people of the UK!

Four in ten people wearing face masks again??!! Really??!!! From my observations over the last month I'd say on average it's more like about four in a HUNDRED at a MAXIMUM wearing them! Here in Bristol whilst I noticed a SLIGHT uptick in people wearing them during late June and early July, I've noticed this has receeded again already

Almost HALF of people now observing social distancing rules again??? From my observations hardly anyone is social distancing now, and it's been like this for many many months now! Has the person/s who wrote this article been out onto the streets lately??!! It's incredibly RARE to see anyone doing that nonsense charade now!!!! And what's this about "social distancing rules that have not been in place since February"??? Social distancing "rules" were scrapped a YEAR ago now!!!!

It depends which question was being asked and where
Outside a hospital ?


Of course if a person never wore a mask for 100 trips out except for the one time that someone was sitting near them on a crowded train snuffling and sneezing they would be in the catagory of 40 %
 

greyman42

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I didn't say i would, did i? (I didn't before) However, i could expect a large fine (and possibly a criminal record depending on the severity of the emergency law) , however unfair it was.
A criminal record is no big deal for the vast majority of people. It is regularly over-egged on this forum.
 

yorkie

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...and the Zoe page has now been updated; we're down to:

Daily new cases of COVID
Total numbers of new daily cases across the UK
339,333
And the reduction in estimated infections continues:
Daily new cases of COVID
Total numbers of new daily cases across the UK
334,010
And reduced even further:
Daily new cases of COVID
Total numbers of new daily cases across the UK
325,622
The game is up for the maskivists who so desperately wanted to mandate masks before the reduction in infections, so that masks could claim the credit.
 

kristiang85

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And reduced even further:

The game is up for the maskivists who so desperately wanted to mandate masks before the reduction in infections, so that masks could claim the credit.

I still think Zoe was overexaggerated by hay fever season too, given it is a mostly symptom-based survey, with the peak also coinciding with peak pollen counts.
 

jumble

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And reduced even further:

The game is up for the maskivists who so desperately wanted to mandate masks before the reduction in infections, so that masks could claim the credit.
I think common sense dictates but the idiot maskevists don't realise that once we reach the levels we are at then the virus will likely run out of the vulnerable people to infect very soon
They are assuming it will affect everyone which is nonsense
A member of our household who had it but neither my partner nor I caught it and I assume many people are in the same boat with having good immune systems
( I am not sure if I have ever had it. The only time i had symptoms which was a loss of taste and smell a PCR was negative)
I did have 2 vaccinations which I believe were effective against Delta but I have not had a booster and will not do so since:
I believe the government are probably trying to get rid of vaccinations that are reaching their use by date
I am not convinced that they are particularly effective against Omicron

Finally a gem from my GP vis SMS exactly as it came
We still strongly encourage mask wearing and social distancing as very effective methods of avoiding Covid-19 infection
( although since the senior GP went to The Daily Mail and advocated Mandatory Vaccinations in contradiction to NHS ethics I am not really surprised)
 

Class 33

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This week's Coronavirus gov dashboard updated today. Cases are 14.4% DOWN! So all those(including the press and media) banging on about "Covid cases on the rise again"(and similar wording) and calling for "Covid restrictions to be brought back" must now shut up about this. They've lost! Covid cases are now on the DECREASE again. Absolutely no need whatsoever for any pointless stupid hassly nuisancey wreckless restrictions to be brought back!

I see Sky News have still got their "COVID infections rise 29% as 3.5 million people estimated to have virus in the UK" on their homepage, which has been on there for the past week. They need to take that down IMMEDIATELY now! If it's still on there tomorrow I shall email them to request they take it down immediately!
 

VauxhallandI

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This week's Coronavirus gov dashboard updated today. Cases are 14.4% DOWN! So all those(including the press and media) banging on about "Covid cases on the rise again"(and similar wording) and calling for "Covid restrictions to be brought back" must now shut up about this. They've lost! Covid cases are now on the DECREASE again. Absolutely no need whatsoever for any pointless stupid hassly nuisancey wreckless restrictions to be brought back!

I see Sky News have still got their "COVID infections rise 29% as 3.5 million people estimated to have virus in the UK" on their homepage, which has been on there for the past week. They need to take that down IMMEDIATELY now! If it's still on there tomorrow I shall email them to request they take it down immediately!
Do they have a fake news button we can hit?
 

yorkie

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I still think Zoe was overexaggerated by hay fever season too, given it is a mostly symptom-based survey, with the peak also coinciding with peak pollen counts.
Indeed; furthermore the gov.uk Coronavirus dashboard shows the peak as around 3rd-7th July at a time when Zoe said cases were still rising, and continued to rise according to Zoe for over a week after that!
This week's Coronavirus gov dashboard updated today. Cases are 14.4% DOWN! So all those(including the press and media) banging on about "Covid cases on the rise again"(and similar wording) and calling for "Covid restrictions to be brought back" must now shut up about this. They've lost! Covid cases are now on the DECREASE again. Absolutely no need whatsoever for any pointless stupid hassly nuisancey wreckless restrictions to be brought back!

I see Sky News have still got their "COVID infections rise 29% as 3.5 million people estimated to have virus in the UK" on their homepage, which has been on there for the past week. They need to take that down IMMEDIATELY now! If it's still on there tomorrow I shall email them to request they take it down immediately!
The media went crazy on the same day that Zoe reached the peak. I suspect they were tipped off by Zoe that cases were actually declining and that Zoe was going to be updated with a lower figure the next day.

As I've said before I think Zoe is no longer the first to show a change in trend and I think it's no longer anywhere near as accurate as it was. I suspect this is partly due to fewer people participating, evolution of the virus making it more adapted for humans and therefore less pathogenic/virulent, lower availability of tests, and of course most crucially our increasing levels of population immunity as we become closer to reaching endemic equilibrium.

A further reduction has been posted today:

Daily new cases of COVID​

Total numbers of new daily cases across the UK​

312,713​


I don't think the media will rush to go with headlines about declining cases as that isn't scary/newsworthy enough to attract clicks/views.
 

Mikw

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A criminal record is no big deal for the vast majority of people. It is regularly over-egged on this forum.
It's not something you want though is it? Especially when it comes to travel and future employment

Out of interest, what needs to happen for the NHS to be defined as overwhelmed? I would argue that it's already there. Six million people on waiting lists, multiple hour waits for an ambulance. How bad does it need to get? 10 hour wait for an ambulance? I've basically resigned myself to that fact that if I need an ambulance, I'm probably dead.

I don't see how wearing a mask on a train or shutting things down will have any meaningful impact on the above. A strict China style lockdown with a ban on alcohol and power tools would probably help but it would need to be in place for months or years. In which case what is the point in being alive?
ITU capacity can be easily overwhelmed. there's just enough beds for a "normal" year, but not geared up for a pandemic.

One of the biggest problems is Covid requires distancing, so you actually lose some beds on a Covid infused ITU ward.

Good news that cases are coming down though.
 

P Binnersley

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This was on the local BBC news this morning.

"Mask and sanitiser plea as Covid-19 cases rise in Walsall"
People living in Walsall in the West Midlands are being urged to to wear masks and use sanitiser due to a rise Covid cases.
Latest figures show there were 608 positive cases recorded in the seven days up to 10 July, a 4.6 per cent increase on the previous week.
"We continue to see a weekly increase in the number of positive cases in Walsall" Stephen Gunther, Walsall's Director of Public Health said.
The government's Coronavirus dashboard updated yesterday shows a10.2% drop in cases in Walsall for the 7 days up to 15th July, but we can't put out good news can we!
 

carriageline

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Curious, what are peoples employers doing if you catch covid? A lot now are treating covid as any other sickness. If you catch it, are you REQUIRED to go sick, or can you still attend if you feel able?

A few I speak to have to go sick, which can’t be doing our economic recovery any good now, especially as we are in the “live with it, and get on with it” stage.
 

VauxhallandI

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Curious, what are peoples employers doing if you catch covid? A lot now are treating covid as any other sickness. If you catch it, are you REQUIRED to go sick, or can you still attend if you feel able?

A few I speak to have to go sick, which can’t be doing our economic recovery any good now, especially as we are in the “live with it, and get on with it” stage.
It goes back another step though doesn't it?

I started sneezing on Sunday night and have had what I call a cold this week. I have worked at home because I felt a bit ****; tomorrow however I will work in the office.

No tests nothing to see?
 

Class 33

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I see Sky News STILL has the "Covid infections rise 29%....." article on their website. I have just emailed them to request they remove it as soon as possible as it is no longer the case that Covid infections rise 29%. I've also mentioned to them that whenever Covid infections they(and other media outlets) are very quick to post numerous doom mongering articles about rising Covid infections and so called "experts" saying "Covid restrictions MUST return", etc. Yet when it's the other way around and positive news that Covid infections are FALLING, they barely mention this. Let's see if they reply(probably not!) and if and how long they take to remove that "Covid infections rise 29%" article from their homepage!
 
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Simon11

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BBC reporting that Biden has covid and is facing mild condition that means he is working remotely.

I don't understand why this should be reported as news and why anyone should care….
 

GC class B1

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BBC reporting that Biden has covid and is facing mild condition that means he is working remotely.

I don't understand why this should be reported as news and why anyone should care….
I heard also that they are tracing his contacts. That should be interesting as he has been travelling to other countries.
 

DerekC

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BBC reporting that Biden has covid and is facing mild condition that means he is working remotely.

I don't understand why this should be reported as news and why anyone should care….
Because he's the President of the US and he's 79 years old. If he croaks it will matter to all of us.
 

kristiang85

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Because he's the President of the US and he's 79 years old. If he croaks it will matter to all of us.

He's more likely to croak doing one of his stumbles down the Air Force One stairs than he is of COVID.
 

westv

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I thought I did read somewhere that cases are now falling in the UK. Anybody able to confirm or deny?
 

yorkie

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I thought I did read somewhere that cases are now falling in the UK. Anybody able to confirm or deny?
That is true; see above, and the Zoe estimate fell even further yesterday:

Daily new cases of COVID​

Total numbers of new daily cases across the UK​

298,909​

Many journalists are reluctant to report this (despite being keen to report instances of cases rising) as it doesn't suit their narrative.

The estimated case rate of symptomatic infections is massive; we also know a very significant proportion of people are asymptomatic (in the early days this was around 1 in 3 but must surely now be far higher than that) and therefore the proportion of infections which now lead to serious illness bust be absolutely miniscule.

This is good evidence that Sars-CoV-2 is becoming the 5th endemic human Coronavirus and that we really need to just live our lives completely normally. No scaremongering. No telling people what they should or shouldn't wear or do. Everyone is going to be exposed to Sars-CoV-2 multiple times in our lifetimes. Everyone who wants to be vaccinated has been (with the vast majority taking that offer up) and while the vaccines do not stop infections, they reduce the effects of the virus to something similar to the commonly circulating respiratory viruses to which we already have good immunity.

It's time to move on, but sadly many journalists will be reluctant to admit this as that isn't good news for them as they want to be able to continue to stoke fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD). The standard of journalism is generally very poor these days, with of course some notable exceptions!
 
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Dent

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That is true; see above, and the Zoe estimate fell even further yesterday:


I wouldn't take Zoe too seriously. The actual figures are at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/, the ONS survey is also fairly reliable but always a few weeks out of date.
 

Freightmaster

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I wouldn't take Zoe too seriously.
While it may not be not accurate in reflecting the true number of infections, I think Yorkie's point
is that it shows that it gives a good indication of the overall trend, which has been consistently
downwards for the past week or so...





MARK
 

Dent

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While it may not be not accurate in reflecting the true number of infections, I think Yorkie's point
is that it shows that it gives a good indication of the overall trend, which has been consistently
downwards for the past week or so...





MARK
I'm not sure it does really give a good indication of the overall trend. It used to be a good leading indicator until last summer, but since then it hasn't really been. The actual figures are available, and show a decreasing trend, I would trust that more than Zoe.
 

Freightmaster

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I see Sky News STILL has the "Covid infections rise 29%....." article on their website. I have just emailed them to request they remove it as soon as possible as it is no longer the case that Covid infections rise 29%. I've also mentioned to them that whenever Covid infections they(and other media outlets) are very quick to post numerous doom mongering articles about rising Covid infections and so called "experts" saying "Covid restrictions MUST return", etc. Yet when it's the other way around and positive news that Covid infections are FALLING, they barely mention this. Let's see if they reply(probably not!) and if and how long they take to remove that "Covid infections rise 29%" article from their homepage!

I see the BBC are at it too today:

UK Covid cases continue to rise​

Around 3.8m people - one in 17 of the UK population - has coronavirus, latest figures from the Office for National Statistics suggest.
It means about 5.8% of the population had the virus in the week to 14 July - up from 5.4% the week before.


It then goes on to explain that:
"Other data sources, such as the government Covid dashboard - which is more current - suggest that for England the number of new infections may already have peaked"

...but how many people will read that far into the article rather than just the headline and first paragraph,
so I think this definitely qualifies as yet more BBC 'fear mongering'






MARK
 

yorkie

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I see the BBC are at it too today:




It then goes on to explain that:


...but how many people will read that far into the article rather than just the headline and first paragraph,
so I think this definitely qualifies as yet more BBC 'fear mongering'






MARK
I was about to post about this FAKE headline but you beat me to it.

The BBC have plunged to new lows; they really are a disgrace.

The headline is completely misleading and their disclaimer that " more recent figures suggest cases may be on the way down" does not excuse their actions and is a huge understatement.

Note their use of words such as "suggests" and "may"; these weasel words were chosen very carefully in order to suit the BBC's agenda.

The BBC say "People are still able to catch the infection even if they have had Covid before"; this is not technically wrong but the wording is, in my opinion, at best incomplete and at worst misleading, as the majority of infections are not reinfections, despite the vast majority of the population having already been exposed to Sars-CoV-2.

The BBC grudgingly admit towards the end of the article that fewer hospital admissions are testing positive and that there are fewer admissions.

The wording of this article is disgraceful, but is entirely consistent with the stance and behaviour I now expect of the BBC. I used to consider the BBC a far more respectable and trustworthy source of information prior to the pandemic, but my confidence in the BBC is now at an all time low and I now finding myself questioning many of their articles, not just Covid ones.

I can't see a name associated with this article. I'd like to see those responsible brought to account and for a full investigation to take place into the BBC's reporting of the pandemic throughout the past couple of years.
 
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