I agree that you have to cater for the demand at the London end. One question is, what is the loading of the LEAST-BUSY off-peak services between London and Reading? If a 600+ seat train is required at the London end ON EVERY SERVICE, then in my opinion every one of the new trains should be 9-car. If however there are diagrams never need to carry that many passengers, at any point of any journey, then having some shorter trains could be useful. How long those shorter trains are depends on how busy those quieter services are.
For pity's sake. What on earth makes you think a 600-seat train is required off-peak?
Are the 180s leaving passengers behind at Reading or Paddington? No, they are not. They are part of a mix of frequent services - something that is not going to change in future.
There are going to be something like a dozen IEP departures per hour, topped up by fast 387s workings, semi-fasts, Crossrail...
If those trains need to nine coaches to seat everyone at the London end then yes. If however they have, say, 100 passenger on at the "country end" and fill up to 450 passengers or less at the London end, then some 7-car units would be useful.
No, some seven coach sets would not be useful, because they would be too small for the peak demand - how many more times do you need to be told HSTs arrive at Oxford off the Cotswold Line in the peaks full up, with people getting off there making room for those getting on - and far too big for off-peak, where a five-car set will be generous provision on a fair few off-peak trains, all the more so the further west they get. Whereas 2x5 formations can handle peak loads and split for more flexible use/servicing at quieter times of the day.
Cheltenham/Gloucester peak trains load heavily - and have a Swindon stop as well, so they also need more seats in the peaks than you get in a seven-coach train... etc, etc
Sort of, but I doubt the number of diagrams a 5-car set is suitable for is very high. Also, with IEP as it stands 10=9 and as soon as you have over 320 passengers at any point on the route you have to go to a 9-car set.
You doubt it, do out? Even though you obviously have precious little idea about loadings on the routes these trains will work, whether peak or off-peak.
A good point, to which I would say that the electrification designers for the bulk of the GWML don't seem to know what they are doing with regard to making the OHLE look unobtrusive. But otherwise I agree; it isn't the pepole designing the trains who specified there would be so many 5-car sets in the GWML order.
No, it was people who know about running a train service. Jut in case you haven;t noticed, when GWR ordered the 802s for the West Country, unfettered by the DfT, they also ordered five-car sets. I wonder why?
Fine, so you need a 9-car set for a. and b. and something shorter for c. You say they're aren't enough 180s, so perhaps we need a few more than 5x 5-car IEPs, but how many diagrams can you find where c. applies (and a. and b. don't) all-day? I don't know, but I'd be really supprised if it was more than 10 or 11.
Since I have no access to the diagrams that will apply and can't be bothered to indulge in back-of-a-fag-packet calculations, I'll leave it to the people at GWR, who are pretty nifty about working these things out. And can probably manage to come up with diagrams that do stuff like running a 2x5 into London in the peak, then splitting it to give a five-car back to the Cotswolds and one to Oxford/Cheltenham, or 2x5 to Oxford or Swindon, splitting there with one going back to London, whether on its own or coupled with another set that has come from further west.
Yes, I did, because there are undoubtedly diagrams where a. applies and you need a long train; but if neither a. or b. apply you can use something shorter. Unless you have a 'jumble of different train lengths', you can't handle quiet services differently from busy ones (and 5/9/10 is 'a jumble of different train lengths', but potentially a less useful one than 5/7/9, it depends).
And like I said above, a seven-car will not be long enough for peak services and far to long off-peak. There is no '5/9/10'. There is five, 2x5 or nine.
Perhaps the person you were replying to there forgot the 170s XC operate, the rest of XC is an Intercity-style operation in that the services are long-distance limited-stop ones, much like the Great Western IC125/cl180 routes. When I read that post, I look it to mean that Great Western was not considered a 'true Intercity franchise' because it is now 'Greater Western' and has the local services (formerly Wessex Trains and Great Western Link) in it whereas ICEC and ICWC don't have local services.
Once again, you really do need to get out of West Wales more and see what happens and how passengers actually use trains in the rest of the country before posting.
How do you think most commuters between Banbury and Oxford travel? They use XC. Any Voyager between Leamington Spa and Birmingham in the peaks is rammed - and not with long-distance passengers. Do you think people travelling between the likes of Leeds and Sheffield dutifully board Northern services to leave XC services for long-distance passengers? Or Cheltenham passengers get on the GWR dmu instead of a Voyager that is non-stop to Bristol Parkway, etc, etc - similar things happen all over the XC network.