if 800s will go through the tunnel - fine. But don't spend money on it, which could be better focused on improving the exisiting services.
I agree; before the announcemnt of 800s to Tenby, I wrote a few letters regarding the expected withdrawal of GWR services west of Carmarthen to one or two of the MPs/AMs round here. I don't think that my comments were really heeded, as Tenby town council and others with more 'clout' probably made their voices heard, but if we pretend that it was only me that raised this issue than the announcment was rather an unintended consequence. My hope was that one of the following would happen:
- A careful assessment of the line to discover that 9-car class 800s would in fact fit with no infrustructure work
- Retention of full-length IC125s for Paddington-Plymouth/Penzance services, which would have meant GWR still had suitable stock for through Paddington - Pembroke Dock services
- Cascade of mark 2 aircons or mark 3s to ATW's successor, allowing them to run 5-car trains between Cardiff and Tenby / Pembroke Dock, to be replaced by mark 4s when available
- Cascade of a large number of class 156s to ATW's successor to enable all Pembroke & Tenby daytime diagrams to be 4-car on busy days in the summer
Throwing money at Narberth tunnel (or any other infrustructure constraint that does not effect Sprinter-family DMUs and 175s) to allow 800s to run to Tenby was
NOT what I wanted.
Then you have Spittal Tunnel (think that's what it's called) on the Fishguard branch.
Nowadays in my personal opinion, I don't think the traffic to FGH especially for the ferry doesn't warrant anything bigger than a 2-car DMU, the times I've been over on the afternoon sailing and the train is usually half full, off hand the only time I can remember it being full and standing was when that volcano blew in Iceland back in 2010 and many flights were grounded so many people made use of the Rail and Sail option.
I believe Spittal Tunnel is straighter than the Narberth one, but I may be wrong. Also, although the Fishguard branch is single track now, the Great Western had plans to double it, so Spittal tunnel may be wide enough for double-track (again, I don't know for sure). In previous years (and not just during the volcanic ash event) ATW have strengthened the Fishguard boat train (I've seen 150+153 and 150+Pacer on it in the past; probably a pair of 150s together too) in the summer, so it does need more than a 2-car unit sometimes.
Hot news! I've received a reply from GWR which redirected me to their general enquiry page with their addition of "nothing found for intercityexpress".
Sigh.... that's not what I expected of them.
So I've reiterated my question, have asked for a personal reply and have informed them that I will be sharing their answer in public forums, etc.
I think what is needed here is a Freedom Of Information Request, asking whether Network Rail has done a study to establish whether class 800s can run to Tenby and, if not, how much it would cost to enable that.
The only question is whether the FOI should be sent to Network Rail or the DfT; GWR will just pass you on to one or the other I expect.
The IEP plan cut the InterCity services back to Carmarthen as their out of gauge for Narberth Tunnel. DfT/NR had absolutely no intention to do the work necessary to make it happen so the Pembroke Dock branch would lose its through summer Saturday trans from London at least.
When I was asking around before, it sounded like nobody knew whether 800s would be able to run to Tenby; DfT just hadn't asked for IEP trains to go down there. I got the impression (perhaps incorrect) that, when Hitachi's IEP train with 26m vehicles was announced, Network Rail did not even have an intention to find out whether they would fit through Narberth tunnel. If I'm right, NR simply weren't asked by the DfT to make IEP trains run into Pembrokeshire, which suggests DfT had already decided to cut the service at Carmarthen.
Grayling has seemingly "promised" they will continue in the cancel the wires announcement. Th irony being the disruptive engineering work that DfT tell us the magic bi miode trains will save us from will of course be necessary to get the same trains through Narberth tunnel,
Unless of course they actually sent out somebody to measure up and found that the class 800s would fit after all, without any major works. Then Grayling could safely announce the continuation of the London services, in the knowledge that it wouldn't cost much.
Have we actually had confirmation they don’t fit through Narberth Tunnel?
No, not as far as I know. All I know is that:
- DfT's route clearance map for IEP did not include any clearance in Pembrokeshire
- a (former?) rail employee wrote (in a magazine) that he doubted a 26m coach would pass through given that a slight misaligned of the track in the past caused a shorter vehicle to collide with the tunnel wall
- the tunnel is a very tight, single-track, bore on a fairly serious curve
I'd be surprised if it continued after this year as the days of crowds of people travelling to Tenby and other locations from London on Saturdays and returning the following week are a thing of the past now due to changing patterns. It would be interesting to know the loadings on these for passengers travelling through. The ATW, sorry TFW, units are there but with down time while the GWR services run.
I've been out filming the FirstGWR services most summer Saturdays for the past few years. I don't often go to the stations on the branch, but when I've been to Tenby I've observed that the extra capacity is certainly needed sometimes. I think I've seen over 4 carriages worth of passengers getting on/off GWR trains at Tenby on a sunny Saturday (when I've gone to see the train in the rain I think it was a fair bit quieter). I've also been on a full-and-standing Pacer on one of ATW's Tenby services on a summer Saturday. 4-car DMUs all week (or at least SAT and SUN) in the summer might be more appropriate than two long trains each way on Saturdays only.
what this line really needs is a more frequent service of shorter trains. For this line - as well as that to Milford Haven to have one train every 2 hours is appalling.
I completely agree regarding the Milford branch. I'm not so sure about the Pembroke & Tenby; the journey time from Pembroke Dock to Whitland is just so long that I'm not sure you'd get many passengers even if it was an hourly service. Maybe the thing to do is go hourly Swansea-Tenby with alternate trains continuing to Pembroke Dock (prefrably with an express bus accepting rail tickets from Pembroke Dock and Pembroke non-stop to Carmarthen in the other hours).
Another problem is the time it takes to reach south- west Wales from everywhere else. From next year, the Inter City Express Trains will be doing Cardiff to London in 1 hour 45 minutes. It takes around 3 hours to get from Cardiff to Tenby - so, time wise, this corner of SWWales is more remote from the Welsh Capital than London in the other direction. I also note that it is possible to drive from Cardiff to Tenby in about 1 hour 35 minutes. (The road route is shorter and straighter than the rail route).
So, what can be done to try and make, for example, day return rail trips more viable between Cardiff and Tenby and vice versa? Clearly, going into and out of Swansea takes a fair bit of time - as does the same thing at Carmarthen. Perhaps fast limited stop services could operate between Cardiff & Carmarthen - possibly using the Swansea District Line - which could have a new P&R station by the M4 at Morriston? (The speed limit on the SWDL should be increased - if possible). Such a fast service would also benefit Llanelli - where with careful timing - a connection could be made with the Heart of Wales Trains. From Carmarthen, hopefully an hourly service could be implemented for both the south Pembrokeshire line as well as that to Milford Haven. This could be made up of trains that have directly come from the east as well as those that have come out of Swansea.
Here, here. Ideally, there would be a target of Carmarthen-Cardiff in 70 minutes (to be faster than driving) with just three stops, Port Talbot Parkway, Morriston Parkway and Llanelli. An hourly service on that route, with alternate trains continuing to Milford Haven (and, when there's a ferry to connect with, Fishguard) is what I'd like to see, alongside a train every 30mins between Swansea and Carmarthen, with 1tph extending to Milford/Fishguard (alternating) and some of the others to Pembroke Dock.
That doesn't work without a passing loop somewhere between Narberth and Kilgetty/Saundersfoot though.
would mean relatively short trains (sprinters or 2 car 170’s or 175’s) west of Carmarthen. Then they would like a very fast train to get them to/from the east without going into Swansea. I would suggest that such a fast service could be a direct service to/from London using a 5 car Class 800 to join with another unit at Cardiff or a fast train heading to/from Manchester. Such a train could either use the Landore link line or the Swansea District Line - and only stop at Llanelli, Morriston Parkway (M4 J45), Port Talbot, & Cardiff before heading off to Manchester/ London.
For rolling stock, I would like to see:
- class 156s on Fishguard/Milford-Swansea (these would miss out Kidwelly and Ferryside; but serve all other stations that are currently open)
- class 156s or maybe 170s on Pembroke Dock - Swansea (all stops, including any new stations (eg. St. Clears))
- class 175s (mix of 2-car and 3-car units) and perhaps some 158s on Cardiff-Morriston-Carmarthen-Milford/Fishguard; these would not run through to Manchester or London because longer trains are needed there (the short trains are one reason why I would not have these call at Bridgend).
The easiest solution would be to ensure that the operator of local services in Wales actually has enough rolling stock in its fleet to provide some sort of summer Saturday capacity boost between the major cities and towns in South Wales and Tenby - such rolling stock would come in handy the rest of the week in plenty of other places in Wales anyway.
Agreed; the problem is that ATW currently doesn't have the necessary resources which leaves me concerned about capacity next year if GWR's service is withdrawn.
Totally agree if you had Infrastructure £ for west Wales then upgrading line speeds on the Swansea District Line and a Swansea Parkway station are the route to go.
I agree, all the following should come before major work on getting 800s to Tenby:
- 4-track section(s) between Cardiff and Bridgend to allow fast trains to overtake stoppers
- upgraded linespeeds between Cardiff and Bridgend, on the Swansea District Line and between Ferryside and Carmarthen
- improved signalling to cut headways between Llanelli and Clarbeston Road, allowing the fast Swansea District Line service to travel close behind/ahead of the Swansea stoppers to facilitate good connections
- a dynamic loop between Narberth and Kilgetty
- double track between Clarbeston Road and Haverfordwest
- bus lanes in and around Haverfordwest
- reopening of the Neyland branch line