Bantamzen
Established Member
As I say that is currently the global rate, keeping in mind that different countries have different ways to measure infections vs mortalities, so its not clear cut yet. However we are ahead of the curve in terms of vaccinations and indeed treatments having been at the front of development of new treatments, so that figure could be very different for us. Its not a fixed point.If that global figure is accurate there's two things of note:
- if that's the figure then we'd be looking at a total number of deaths (assuming 100% are infected) of 133,000 to 200,000, so we've had between 1/3 and 1/2 of the total deaths we could expect (the USA has similar values). However once we get to about 2/3 of the deaths then the infection rate would start to fall dramatically. The problem is that estimates have the number of likely infections at less than 1/3.
- that's global average the UK average could be higher than this due to having a greater percentage of older people.
Also keep in mind that the key driver was, and still should be the effect on the NHS. Some people will die, just as some people will die from the myriad of other illness and events that keep us very mortal. As the vaccinations increase, so the fixation of one set of data or another should be reduced as the effects the the health service decrease.