Johnson is weaker than Mrs Thatcher was…. If he survives until the strikes have started.
That man is tenacious and is looking for a uniting cause. This may be it. The vast majority of the population does not depend on the passenger railway. We did for coal to fire our power stations. Back then the greater part of the population was united against the NUM, even some miners.
The freight railway is different and that should be HMGs priority to keep running. Those bulk loads can't be transported easily by road. There aren't enough trucks and drivers to cope with a long dispute.
Selling strikes to the public will be problematic for a heavily subsidised industry. So far Boris has been saved by things like Ukraine, but mostly the lack of an alternative strong leader. He thinks he's born to lead and is seeking popular battles to win. That way he neutralises those with ambitions to supplant him.
Breaking the last major national bastion of union power is just the sort of battle he needs. The question we'll soon see answered is if his government has prepared as well as Thatcher's and if he can hold his currently divided party together to see it through.