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First win Intercity West Coast franchise

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MK Tom

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A poll on the Guardian website currently shows that 91% of respondents would prefer Virgin to First.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/blo...in-trains-firstgroup-which-best?newsfeed=true

This is going to sound so bad/elitist/whatever of me but most of these people have zero idea how the industry functions - a poll of the general public is pretty pointless in terms of judging which is the better choice for the franchise other than a 'they'll travel on it so they should have a say' kind of thing. A lot of people are going to vote for Virgin because they like the brand from mobile phones, banking services and flights. Others are going to be unaware how much Virgin promised and didn't achieve in the WCML upgrade (a lot of it through no fault of their own admittedly). I'm not saying Virgin should have won or that they shouldn't, just that the general public isn't sufficiently informed for an online poll to really be worth anything as an indicator of what the right decision is. The point earlier about people on the BBC site thinking VT owned the trains and could take them with them sort of illustrates that.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
I have a question.
The "moderation of competition" clause: will it still exist with this franchise?

Nope, ended in April.
 
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Wath Yard

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No. It went in April of this year, though it is still the ORR's decision as to whether they permit it or not and the DfT will be putting a lot of pressure on them to not permit OA operators.
 

sprinterguy

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Virgin Trains advised me previously the Kitchen could not be removed
However, I had not taken into account a complete refurbishment by another TOC
In agreement with this point, it has to be said that it would have to be an exceptionally extensive refurbishment in order to see the kitchen removed from coach K.
 

tbtc

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A few initial reactions:

  • How can they best serve Bolton? By extending London - Manchester trains? But then a six coach train is far too short for that route (given how busy Manchester trains are). Or a Voyager reversing at Wigan North Western?
  • No mention of electrification from Crewe to Chester? I was hoping that this short section hadn't been mentioned in CP5 because the Government wanted to announce it when the new West Coast tender was announced. Shame.
  • I don't think IEP would work on the West Coast, given the lack of tilt (thus limiting them to 110)?
  • No mention of taking over the TPE Scottish services (I thought that there was a chance that this would be announced when the franchise was confirmed - sadly not)
  • Will be interesting to see how the Blackpool/ Bolton/ Shrewsbury services are run - will they be frequent enough to provide a real service, or just a box ticking exercise like Wrexham?
  • If the new trains are 390s (which isn't guaranteed, but realistically there are no other 125mph tilting trains on the market) then could a six coach one work with a Voyager? (probably not but thought I'd ask)
  • For all the complaints about the size of the First premiums (which aren't as large as some guessed), can you imagine the complaints if the Government had turned down a big bid to award it to Virgin (given that Branson already got bits of Northern Rock at a rather "cheap" price)?
This just proves one thing... Very much like the ECML.

The DFT are not interested in what is best for the franchise, they are just interested in who will give them the most money!!

Except that on the ECML the DfT turned down a larger bid (Arriva) when awarding the franchise to NXEC - if they are only interested in the highest bidder then why would they have done that?

Seems to me like it's mostly change for changes sake - and at huge cost in rebranding etc.

Compared to the billions involved in this long franchise, the cost of rebranding is tiny. Especially considering that paint jobs/ vinyls are only meant to last for a finite period anyway (and would have had to be replaced/ repainted/ updated by whoever won).

Afaik monopolies such as running both WCML and ECML are not allowed

Really?

First will have a monopoly on some routes (including London to Wales, which nobody has noticed), but then many TOCs have monopolies on routes.

The fact that the Government has amended the franchise map to have one main operator at Liverpool Street/ Paddington etc (and thus creating monopolies on routes like London - Ipswich/ Oxford where there was once competition) suggests that the "monopoly" argument is a red herring.

Hey, Wiganners, going to have to change trains to get to London, that's progress :roll:

Where's the evidence that they'll need to change trains to get from Wigan to London?

I thought that the plan (as far as we know) was for an hourly service between the two (albeit a Blackpool service rather than a Glasgow service)?

New trains (baby Pendolinos for sure), more destinations (it's nice to see Shrewsbury getting direct services at last - all the moaning paid off!), faster services, station improvements and massive premium payments to the Treasury. What more do people want!?

Good point - everyone is so desperate to hate First that they are ignoring the benefits here - good to see someone else has noticed the improvements

I'm also bemused by the "outcry" from the general public over Virgin loosing the franchise. Usually they're moaning about how terrible the service is. Virgin Trains is a Train Operating Company, not some brilliant tour operator or broadband provider, both of which are optional. Virgin Trains are a good TOC, but by no means excellent, and I'm reasonably confident that First can do just as well.

Agreed again

The staff at Picc look rather p--sed off to say the least

How do the staff at Piccadilly know the details of First's plans? Or are they just guessing? Or believing Mr Crow's latest claims?

GNER overbid and handed back the keys, NXEC overbid and handed back the keys, RB does have a point.

Other TOCs bid highly (like AXC) and haven't handed back any keys.

Plus GNER's problems were as much to do with their parent company (Sea Containers) and the fact that Grand Central created a big hole in their income.

A lot the travelling public don't really understand how it works (why would they?). Virgin according to some turned the whole thing around all by themselves and no one else was involved. Of course, that's hardly true, is it?

Also, why do people keep predicting the success of a franchise based upon what has happened in the past on a different franchise or an another one in the portfolio? Different management, different commitments, different culture, different TOCs,

National Express had some great franchises before East Coast, need I say more...

I agree - especially re Nat Ex (ScotRail and MML were great franchises, seeing lots of new trains, doubling of some services, new links from London to Matlock/ Burton/ Barnsley...). Please don't let everyone think of National Express only in terms of NXEA and NXEC (C2C are rather good!).

it seems that all the 221s are to be retained within the West Coast franchise beyond 2016

A shame - they'd be very welcome on the core XC routes

Gives them four years to think up an excuse not to run from Shrewsbury!

So First have announced new services from Shrewsbury to London and your first reaction is to complain?

The interesting thing here is there has been no statement released by the all mighty Souter. I wonder if he is keeping quiet due to the fact his company have/are bidding for franchises elsewhere?!

Souter isn't as daft/ publicity hungry/ swift to react as Branson/ Crow. But Stagecoach's involvement in Virgin Trains has been ignored by many - it's bad news for Stagecoach too.
 

marks87

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A poll on the Guardian website currently shows that 91% of respondents would prefer Virgin to First.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/blo...in-trains-firstgroup-which-best?newsfeed=true
I wonder, though, how that result would differ if people were in full possession of the facts? A not insignificant number seem to think that on 8 December, you'll get an 11-car Pendolino from Glasgow to London, then on the 9th you'll be crammed into a 3-car 185 for the return leg.

If people realised that essentially the only difference (initially, at least) will be "Virgin" replaced with "First", would they still be so against this?
 

rail-britain

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In agreement with this point, it has to be said that it would have to be an exceptionally extensive refurbishment in order to see the kitchen removed from coach K.
I would also assume First InterCity West Coast have looked into how the Kitchen is integrated into Coach K, as they would be entitled to as part of the bid process and in their discussions with Alstom (and probably where the story about catering jobs being cut leaked from)

I can see three options, but removing the Kitchen from Coach K in effect would be the most expensive
A
Remove the Kitchen from Coach K, the Shop from Coach C, and install a buffet into Coach U (for at-seat service to all passengers and counter service)
B
Remove the Kitchen from Coach K, revise the Shop in Coach C with a buffet (for at-seat service to all passengers and counter service)
C
Remove the Shop from Coach C and install a similar kitchen in Coach A (for at-seat service only)
 

tbtc

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I wonder, though, how that result would differ if people were in full possession of the facts? A not insignificant number seem to think that on 8 December, you'll get an 11-car Pendolino from Glasgow to London, then on the 9th you'll be crammed into a 3-car 185 for the return leg.

If people realised that essentially the only difference (initially, at least) will be "Virgin" replaced with "First", would they still be so against this?

True.

People's experience of Virgin is generally only in fun/ quality/ interesting things (mobile phones, cinemas, health clubs, beauty, flights).

People's experience of First may be more about "necessary" things (bus services round council estates/ commuter trains like 142/143/153/313/321s).

The question is "can First run West Coast better than Virgin" (which, given their track record in long distance trains, they may well be able to), which is nothing to do with general brand "reputation".
 
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So First have announced new services from Shrewsbury to London and your first reaction is to complain?

I'm just highly sceptical that it will actually happen.

And even if it does happen I'm still going to go via Newport and take the new IEP train to Paddington! :p
 

snail

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Me too, as First have never run East Coast. They did run the First Great Eastern franchise for a while though, maybe that is what you are thinking about?
The press are running quotes from Branson claiming that First West Coast will go the way of NXEC. The great British Public (but very much excluding ALR and others on here) are adding 2 + 2 and getting 5.

In other words, most people haven't a clue how it really works. Or forget how useless Virgin were at the start of their franchise, not helped of course by the farce that was the WCML upgrade.
 

sonic2009

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Interesting readin g of the comment s on the beeb story



Where on Earth did he think up that statement from.

I can just see that happening ;) a 185 from Manchester Piccadilly to London on hire :P
 

LNW-GW Joint

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First InterCity West Coast have allocated £75m for the new rolling stock
They pay DfT who order the rolling stock, who in turn pay the RoSCo, who then in turn own the rolling stock

I don't think so. First will lease the EMUs from a Rosco direct.
The DfT is only involved to the extent they signed off the cost/premuim profile including the new trains.
I'm not sure who now owns the 106 new Pendolino vehicles - DfT did buy these initially.
The original Pendolino fleet is owned by Angel Trains.
As to type of EMU, nobody other than Alstom has a tilting 125mph train of UK gauge on their books, and no doubt they have already worked up a 6-car design and offered it to First (and Virgin).
The order might be quite rapid.
 

WCMLaddict

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A few initial reactions:

  • How can they best serve Bolton? By extending London - Manchester trains? But then a six coach train is far too short for that route (given how busy Manchester trains are). Or a Voyager reversing at Wigan North Western?


  • I'm curious about this as well and (from my personal perspective) genuinely hope it will be the Wigan option.

    I thought I read somewhere that traffic going through platforms 13/14 at Piccadilly is very heavy and there is little scope for more services.
 

williamn

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Re the poll, I think it's valid as an indicator of public opinion. Its clear that Virgin Trains are fairly well-liked as a company from this and from facebook and Twitter comments.
 

snail

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I'm curious about this as well and (from my personal perspective) genuinely hope it will be the Wigan option.

I thought I read somewhere that traffic going through platforms 13/14 at Piccadilly is very heavy and there is little scope for more services.
By the time these services start there will be 2 additional through platforms at Piccadilly and an electrified line to Bolton.

Reversing at Wigan is totally impractical. You can only reach the Westhoughton line from Platform 1 which means crossing the main running lines, stopping then reversing.
 

Aictos

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For these in the know, these new 11 car trains are they SDO possible?

Could more 390s be extended?

How many 390s are needed on Birmingham to Scotland to convert all diagrams to 390 operation?
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
or a 317 from FCC !

Nah, a 313 ;)
 

tbtc

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I'm curious about this as well and (from my personal perspective) genuinely hope it will be the Wigan option.

I thought I read somewhere that traffic going through platforms 13/14 at Piccadilly is very heavy and there is little scope for more services.

By the time these services start there will be 2 additional through platforms at Piccadilly and an electrified line to Bolton.

Reversing at Wigan is totally impractical. You can only reach the Westhoughton line from Platform 1 which means crossing the main running lines, stopping then reversing.

I wondered whether Bolton might be a portion working of a Blackpool service?

The other problem is that there's nowhere really to terminate at Bolton (is there?).

(I'd rather have a debate about the practicalities of this kind of thing than an argument about whether Brand X is better than Brand Y)
 

swt_passenger

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Interesting reading of the comments on the beeb story

Where on Earth did he think up that statement from.

If he's assuming that an outgoing TOC takes its stock away ("it's my ball and I'm going home") he might have read it here, as long as he'd selectively looked up some of the more ridiculous posts... :roll:
 

WCMLaddict

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By the time these services start there will be 2 additional through platforms at Piccadilly and an electrified line to Bolton.

Reversing at Wigan is totally impractical. You can only reach the Westhoughton line from Platform 1 which means crossing the main running lines, stopping then reversing.

Totally agree in regard to impracticalities of the Wigan options.

Are there plans to build two more lines between Oxford Road and Piccadilly? As far as I remeber that is where the congestion happens. Were the 2 additional through platforms confirmed?
 

philjo

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I would also assume First InterCity West Coast have looked into how the Kitchen is integrated into Coach K, as they would be entitled to as part of the bid process and in their discussions with Alstom (and probably where the story about catering jobs being cut leaked from)

I can see three options, but removing the Kitchen from Coach K in effect would be the most expensive
A
Remove the Kitchen from Coach K, the Shop from Coach C, and install a buffet into Coach U (for at-seat service to all passengers and counter service)
B
Remove the Kitchen from Coach K, revise the Shop in Coach C with a buffet (for at-seat service to all passengers and counter service)
C
Remove the Shop from Coach C and install a similar kitchen in Coach A (for at-seat service only)
The additional 1st seating in coach K if the kitchen is removed would also allow coach G to become standard class with the catering possibly added there as part of the refurb.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
I wondered whether Bolton might be a portion working of a Blackpool service?

The other problem is that there's nowhere really to terminate at Bolton (is there?).

(I'd rather have a debate about the practicalities of this kind of thing than an argument about whether Brand X is better than Brand Y)

One possibility is for 2x 6-car units to split at crewe, one portion to Blackpool via Wigan. the other via Wilmslow, Manchester & Bolton & terminate probably at Preston.
Either replaces the existing EUS-Man via Crewe service or that could switch to the Stoke route to give 3tph at Stoke.

I suspect Bolton might just be peak hour extensions of manchester services which go through to Preston.
 
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LNW-GW Joint

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Richard Branson has just been on Radio 4 and he said the press would be carrying details of the Virgin bid tomorrow (to show what goodies the DfT has turned down).
His gist was that First had back-ended its premiums into the last three years, and would need to renegotiate before then, meaning that Virgin would have delivered more premiums.
He was also in one of his incoherent moods, and seemed pretty unhappy.

Theresa Villiers was on before him and was quite critical of Virgin's own franchise track record (the only hint I have heard of revenge for Virgin's antics over the PUG2 contract and the "letter agreement").
 

Tim R-T-C

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Looking on the positive side for spotters on the WCML at last a new livery, then maybe another in 6 months when it reverts to government ownership...
 

Miken

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Dear god, 186 likes. It's practically viral.

I appreciate that this is the end of the world now, but I'm comfortable believing that in 2 years time the West Coast main line will still have trains running up and down it.



Speaking as someone who isn't naive and knows the basic principles of fare evasion, gates are a significant aid to fare collection. Particularly when combined with penalty fares, although this is not essential.

The problem as typified on FGW commuter services out of Paddington is that on-train ticket checking decreases, First Class gets totally abused and there is no point buying a higher value ticket so this revenue gets lost.
 

tbtc

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Totally agree in regard to impracticalities of the Wigan options.

Are there plans to build two more lines between Oxford Road and Piccadilly? As far as I remeber that is where the congestion happens. Were the 2 additional through platforms confirmed?

Yes, announced in CP5 (as part of the "Northern Hub" plans).

The problem with doing this would be whether they plan to extend some London - Manchester services to Bolton with nine/eleven coach Pendolinos or whether this planned for new six coach EMUs (which would be too small for London - Manchester). Hence me wondering whether going via Wigan with a Voyager was the way to do it (crossing the WCML on the flat to access the Bolton-bound platform isn't ideal, but its not the only flat crossing)
 

HH

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According to DfT website First will pay £5.5bn over the life of the franchise so quite a lot less than was being bounded about before!

The difference is that £5.5bn is the first cut off date, £6.5-7.0bn the second (after an extension). BTW this is not a guess this is based on information given to the markets, which doesn't figure in the official press release.
 

swt_passenger

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Are there plans to build two more lines between Oxford Road and Piccadilly?

Not required - the capacity is gained by having trains arriving/departing in the same direction to/from pairs of adjacent platforms at the relevant stations.

Were the 2 additional through platforms confirmed?

Yes - they're a key part of the Northern Hub project.
 

rail-britain

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Richard Branson has just been on Radio 4 and he said the press would be carrying details of the Virgin bid tomorrow (to show what goodies the DfT has turned down)
Equally to release information to the media that the DfT have refused to release on the "grounds of commercial sensitivity" (Villiers refused to answer the same question twice on BBC this morning)
Hardly commercially sensitive if the bid is rejected!
 

Realfish

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Yes that's true.
Looks like First have plumped for this rather than extra services to Liverpool.
Their press release talks about Nuneaton but not Rugby so I am guessing these trains will not skip-stop in the Trent Valley.
Just guessing.

I wondered about the Nuneaton thingy and if that means the writing is on the wall for the increaingly popular direct, fast Lichfield and Tamworth services - both LM stations that I don't think could be barriered.

Perhaps the increasing number of passengers from these stations will have to make do with the soon to be lauched 110MPH, LM 350/1 services or use the new Nuneaton 'connectivity'.
 

tbtc

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I suspect Bolton might just be peak hour extensions of manchester services which go through to Preston.

That may well be the case - at the moment we have no idea of how regular these Bolton/ Shrewsbury (etc) services are going to be. Running all the way to Preston might make sense - especially if this can give Londoners a direct link to Chorley market :lol:
 

philjo

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Presumably additional calls at MK & Nuneaton means that they would gain more ORCATS revenue for flows that currently mainly go to London Midland?
 
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