The Liverpool services are the symbolic one for me.
It was much more of a priority to secure a route to a big city beyond the franchise boundaries than to focus resources on the "core" Welsh (or Borders) routes - that's the way that they see things - taking a share of the Liverpool - Chester market matters higher than using the DMUs on existing routes
Once things look better and the franchise has more stock then, sure, expand to places like Liverpool, but to focus on running a new service to Lime Street whilst trying to keep long standing passengers happy with promises of improvements "soon"
What'll happen if the 197s don't work straight out of the box but the 175s get snapped up by someone else? (oh, wait, I know the answer to this, it'll be "blame Arriva")
Just because Arriva's gone doesn't mean the effects of that franchise are still felt. 15 years of no investment and growth isn't going to be undone in three
Arriva's tenure ended over three years ago (which means that it must be about four years since the tender bits were being designed) - yet we are still in the world of "jam tomorrow" - it'll all be better in just another three years - if things carry on like this then in 2024 I'm sure we'll be hearing that it'll all be better by 2027, and that all problems are still the fault of Arriva!
The dft should shoulder a lot of the blame, they wrote up a non growth 15yr franchise
That was awarded in August 2003 - there's been a lot of water under the bridge since then (yet people are still blaming a decision from over eighteen years ago)
Tfw have some great ambitions for the franchise and they have brought in lots of external staff into senior roles
The current TFW plan for Wales is the most ambitious since the railways were first constructed
Great ambitions, sure, but they can't deliver - and it's worse to over-promise and then frustrate people than to suggest a fairly modest "no growth" franchise and over-perform (given that Arriva did more than the initial requirements)
Things seem worse now than they did in 2018 - despite the new franchise being drafted before Pacer replacement was required, yet they seem to have been caught cold by the fact that it'd take a wee while for new trains to be built with very little contingency
But you can't just magic up new trains, staff and infrastructure overnight
Nobody expected them to
But over three years later, what's improved?
Have little doubt that if the UK Government had been solely in charge of Wales' railway and had the new franchise we'd be stuck with the 2-3 carriage Class 175s running on the Marches for the foreseeable, diesel Sprinter trains running on the Valley Lines twice per hour at most, no Ebbw Vale line, certainly no Valleys electrification, in fact no new trains in Wales at all
...like Arriva's winning Northern franchise bid (with the UK Government solely in charge) saw just the same trains with
no capacity increases and
no additional stock?
(the one with new 195s and 331s, electrification meaning a number of four coach EMUs coming to the franchise to replace the Pacers/153s - cascaded three coach 170s etc... that pesky UK Government, eh?)
...or the TransPennine franchise (with the UK Government solely in charge) saw the 397s, 802s and loco hauled rakes?
It's a lot more complicated than that in reality. TfW lost 30 Pacer units but gained 9 769s and 12 170's. In terms of comparable units the 769's being 4 car are a replacement for 18 Pacers, along with the 12 170's should mean that capacity should've been increase with many of the 170's being 3 car.
30 Pacers have gone, a few 769s and 153s have replaced them.
They knew that the Pacers would be going - the railway knew about the 31 December 2019 deadline for ages - so Cardiff Bay should have had plans to fill the gap left by removing a large chunk of the local Welsh fleet
Yet over three years after the TfW franchise started we are still waiting for new trains - people seem to blame Arriva for a lot of things that aren't Arriva's fault
I think they've been poor since taking over. They haven't helped themselves either in terms of optics.
Stupid things, like plastering the pacers in 'these trains are terminating soon ' banners, then running them for another 2 years. Or plastering trains and stations with posters about how good things will be in 5 years time.
For me,a lot of what they have done comes across as having lots of big plans, but not really giving a toss about the crap service being provided at present
Agreed - they talked a great game about this transformational franchise... but that was over three years ago... the "terminating soon" stunt might have been a good boast in the final few months of their operation but after a year of seeing them it looks a bit of a hollow boast
I like some of the plans (some seem a bit pointless, going through the costs and complications of bringing in 170s to replace 175s feels a bit more like "being seen to replace the entire Arriva fleet" rather than "sensible long term planning"), but they've gone about it the wrong way - there was a lot of boasting in 2018 and then... some things have gone backwards whilst others haven't improved much- they are going to be testing the patience of passengers if numbers pick up closer to pre-Covid levels