tbtc
Veteran Member
We've had threads "burying" Labour and the LibDems, but when will the Conservative demise be? Which of the icebergs over the horizon will be the one to sink PM Johnson?
They've just lost two by-elections in a row where they were favourites to win - the huge attention paid to Hartlepool meant we ignored the fact that all these measures to win "Red Wall" votes are making them less popular amongst the southern voters they used to rely on
The popularity boost of the "vaccination bounce" seems to be waning (especially as the failure to prevent the Delta variant from India is having repercussions)
Johnson seems to be lacking enthusiasm - his PMQs are just a chance to phone in some pre-heated lines rather than anything big or clever - I can't see him sticking around long term - he's a campaigner rather than a governor - I'm sure he'd rather be earning bigger money from ghostwriting his Shakespeare book etc
My guess is that we'll see some fallings out about the increasing number of Covid cases whilst people are itching to fully re-open the economy - another lockdown could be a step too far for some supporters who have had their patience severely tried over the past eighteen months but kept faith thus far - another set of restrictions could make him very unpopular - which would make Party Conference Season a lot harder
Plus, the shortages in shops are becoming more noticeable as supply chains become tested - how long until some of the pro-Brexit people start to admit that leaving the Single Market/ Customs Union wasn't necessary?
Then again, an England victory in the Euros could give him a huge boost in the polls - maybe call Sturgeon's bluff regarding a referendum, play hard ball...
They've just lost two by-elections in a row where they were favourites to win - the huge attention paid to Hartlepool meant we ignored the fact that all these measures to win "Red Wall" votes are making them less popular amongst the southern voters they used to rely on
The popularity boost of the "vaccination bounce" seems to be waning (especially as the failure to prevent the Delta variant from India is having repercussions)
Johnson seems to be lacking enthusiasm - his PMQs are just a chance to phone in some pre-heated lines rather than anything big or clever - I can't see him sticking around long term - he's a campaigner rather than a governor - I'm sure he'd rather be earning bigger money from ghostwriting his Shakespeare book etc
My guess is that we'll see some fallings out about the increasing number of Covid cases whilst people are itching to fully re-open the economy - another lockdown could be a step too far for some supporters who have had their patience severely tried over the past eighteen months but kept faith thus far - another set of restrictions could make him very unpopular - which would make Party Conference Season a lot harder
Plus, the shortages in shops are becoming more noticeable as supply chains become tested - how long until some of the pro-Brexit people start to admit that leaving the Single Market/ Customs Union wasn't necessary?
Then again, an England victory in the Euros could give him a huge boost in the polls - maybe call Sturgeon's bluff regarding a referendum, play hard ball...