I have thought long and hard before committing this to writing. Much as I admire the skill of train drivers - it never failed to amaze me that a train could arrive at Reading at speed and the driver could stop a 10 coach train with vacuum brakes so the water crane on the platform lined up exactly with the filler on the tender on the nose, every time! - it seems to me that many of those posting in this thread dont appreciate how rapidly technology is changing and how cheap and reliable many of the devices are becoming. This will, in my opinion, dramatically affect the way that drivers do their job in the future. What I write is an attempt to look at the issues dispassionately and explain what technology is capable of doing. I am not trying to market it or sell it - I am retired from the fray - and my description is not limited to tablet computers but describes any driver-centric information system which could also be built-in to a train.
Now, as In the past, five main areas of expertise have maintained the safety of operation of the railways. Obviously there are others, such as systems and processes, but for the sake of my argument these five are, in no particular order:
- signalling - interlocking, indications, warning systems and so on
- civil engineering - track and infrastructure condition
- mechanical engineering - train design and maintenance
- route knowledge
- operating procedures, i.e., the Rule Book.
I concentrate on the last two items. I know I will upset many people by writing this but Route Knowledge is essentially a combination of a feat of memory and an ability to know where one is at all times. It is not a black art but it is essential and not everybody is capable of doing it - some might be able to photographically remember a route but still be clueless if dropped onto part of it and then be asked Where are you? I know i couldn't do it.
However, what has to be realised is that computers are very, very, very good at remembering things. One could easily store all the data concerning a route - possibly the whole network - in a memory chip; it probably has already been done. For a particular line of rails this information could be the description of gradients; curvatures; positions of signals - and the signals number and all the indications it can give; positions and ID of AWS magnets, TPWS loops, balises, turnouts and crossings. It will also hold the start and end of speed limits; the start and end of platforms and on which side of the track they are to be found; where cuttings, embankments, tunnels, bridges and culverts are to be found; areas of reduced adhesion; the exact position of signal post telephones and walkways; places where vision is restricted and so on and so forth. Braking points for different speeds, loads, braking steps and adhesion levels can also be stored.
If a farmer can buy GPS kit for his tractor which enables him to ensure that the spray booms for the fertiliser or weed killers do not either overlap or miss part of the crop when the tractor changes direction in a field then the issues of working out a trains position are trivial - for a start it is laterally constrained by the track! The train knows, or will be able to know, exactly where it is - this is anyway a requirement for ETCS Levels 2 and 3. This works by the train continuously calculating the distance past each balise and reporting this back to the control centre.
The Rule Book is essentially a set of procedures - these can also be codified and stored in the computer in the same way that aircraft have computer controlled check-lists which the pilots have to work through at different stages of the flight. These three things, route knowledge, position and what do do in case of a problem, simply have to be combined in a computer and one has what is called a disruptive technology. Think what Uber is doing to the taxi business.
Dont get sidetracked by the way things are now and extrapolate this to the future. If things havent been fixed in a train for months, that has no bearing on what this technology could do in the future or the changes in management priorities that will come with it.
Before anyone takes umbrage - I am
not denigrating or attacking train crew or their knowledge and experience. I am simply trying to point out what - as sure as night follows day - is coming.
And the reason it will be adopted is clear. It takes a long time to train a train driver - such a technology will reduce the time the needed to remember so much stuff. One can argue, in my opinion successfully, that a good driver knows how to quickly and correctly interpret the information he or she receives, rather than simply remembering stuff. Its the difference between learning by rote and being able to solve problems. It wont reduce the need for traction knowledge - though it will help with fault finding which will become even more important as the railway gets busier.
History shows that guilds, set up originally to protect their members businesses by restricting entry to the guilds, in the long term have collapsed due to the pressures of technological and social change. I am afraid to say that I see this trio of route knowledge, knowing ones exact position and procedures is exactly one of these guild-like activities which is endangered by technological change. The job will change - but I hope and trust that, sitting at the front of my train, is a professional, skilled and competent driver supported by the best technology can offer.
A couple of other things. It wont come overnight - any new technology needs time to mature. It will probably be installed in new rolling stock rather than being a retro-fit in older stuff. It is also supremely oblivious to whether the signal box has a lever frame dating from 1890 or is a state of the art control centre - the thing that is important is the position of the signal and the type of indication it gives. In other words it will work anywhere - as long as the route is modelled digitally.
And dont shoot the messenger! Please!